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Pairwise, t-Wise, and Pareto Optimalities

Econometrica 1982 50(3), 593
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Information in Production

Econometrica 1982 50(5), 1143
THIS PAPER PRESENTS a simple model of the manner in which person-specific information on productive capabilities is put to use in the firm. The analysis is then employed to examine the impact of improved information quality on equilibrium output, wage rates, and degree of specialization. Much effort has been devoted to studying the process through which personspecific information is accumulated. Burdett-Mortensen [1], MacDonald [8], Prescott-Visscher [10], Hartog [3], and Johnson [5] examine the process of learning about person-specific parameters through investment of resources in activities that yield information. Jovanovic [6] analyses the more specific problem of inferring the quality of a particular job-worker match. Little attention has been given to the question of just how the firm utilizes this kind of information. For information to play an interesting role in production, two things are necessary. One is that workers be heterogeneous in a meaningful sense. That is, in the space of productive characteristics, workers must not all be simply scalar multiples of one another. Second, the firm must have some choice about the kind of activities in which workers are engaged. If either of these conditions fails, the optimal assignment of workers is not a problem.2

On the Asymptotic Properties of Estimators of Models Containing Limited Dependent Variables

Econometrica 1982 50(1), 27
For the Tobit model with independent observations, Amemiya [1] has established the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a stationary point, 9, of the log-likelihood. The likelihood for dependent observations may be computationally intractable, so the behavior of 9 in the presence of serially correlated observations is of interest. Under a relaxation of Amemiya's assumption of independence, we prove that 9 is strongly consistent and asymptotically normal, and give an expression for the limiting covariance matrix.

A Market Value Approach to Approximate Equilibria

Econometrica 1982 50(1), 127
We consider the market value of excess demand as a measure of disequilibrium. We show that, in a fixed exchange economy, there exist approximate equilibria whose measures of disequilibrium depend only on the endowments and not on the preferences. A related bound on the norm of excess demand, depending on the endowments and the approximate equilibrium price, is also obtained. We show the existence of allocations which are nearly competitive, as measured by the largest proportion of demand given up at the allocation by any trader. We use these results to obtain, for very general sequences of exchange economies, allocations giving all traders bundles close in norm to their demands. This result includes a 0(l1/n) rate of convergence in the case of uniformly bounded endowments.

Comparison of Local Power of Alternative Tests of Non-Nested Regression Models

Econometrica 1982 50(5), 1287
The paper derives and compares the local power of three different methods of testing non-nested regression models that are available in the literature. It shows that the asymptotic power of the orthodox F test against local alternatives is strictly less than that of Cox's non-nested test or the J test recently proposed by Davidson and MacKinnon [5], unless the number of non-overlapping variables of the alternative hypothesis over the null hypothesis is unity, in which case all three tests are shown to be asymptotically equivalent. The final section of the paper gives results of Monte Carlo experiments designed to check the validity of the theoretical findings of the paper and also to shed light on the small sample properties of the Cox test and the orthodox test.

Sequential Equilibria

Econometrica 1982 50(4), 863
[We propose a new criterion for equilibria of extensive games, in the spirit of Selten's perfectness criteria. This criterion requires that players' strategies be sequentially rational: Every decision must be part of an optimal strategy for the remainder of the game. This entails specification of players' beliefs concerning how the game has evolved for each information set, including informaiton sets off the equilibrium path. The properties of sequential equilibria are developed; in particular, we study the topological structure of the set of sequential equilibria. The connections with Selten's trembling-hand perfect equilibria are given.]

A Note on Noncausality

Econometrica 1982 50(3), 583
In this note the relationship between alternative concepts of noncausality is analyzed using the tool of conditional independence among a-fields. (For the reader who is unfamiliar with this technique, the Appendix sketches the proofs and the basic technical apparatus, along with some basic motivations.) Furthermore, the relationship between the concepts of noncausality and transitivity is made explicit in order to facilitate, in econometric modelling, the use of results already obtained in sequential analysis.