Knowledge that Transforms

Empirical validity of the claim that overhead costs are driven not by production volume but by transactions resulting from production complexity is examined using data from 32 manufacturing plants from the electronics, machinery, and automobile components industries. Transactions are measured using number of engineering change orders, number of purchasing and production planning personnel, shop-floor area per part, and number of quality control and improvement personnel. Results indicate a strong positive relation between manufacturing overhead costs and both manufacturing transactions and production volume. Most of the variation in overhead costs, however, is explained by measures of manufacturing transactions, not volume.

We study the decision to fund R&D through a separate financing organization (an ‘RDFO’) that takes the form of either a limited partnership or a corporation. The RDFO offers tax and financial reporting benefits. As a form of external funding, it also creates moral hazard and adverse selection problems (information costs). Using convertible debt as a comparative form of external funding, we find that debt-related (but not equity-related) financial reporting benefits affect the decision to form RDFOs, the evidence is mixed on whether taxes influence the formation decision, and the information costs of RDFOs restrict their use.

Return models (returns regressed on scaled earnings variables) are commonly preferred to price models (stock price regressed on earnings per share). We provide a framework for choosing between these models. An economically intuitive rationale suggests that price models are better specified in that the estimated slope coefficients from price models, but not return models, are unbiased. Our empirical results confirm that price models' earnings response coefficients are less biased. However, return models have less serious econometric problems than price models. In some research contexts the combined use of both price and return models may be useful.

The paper analyzes the use of reported accounting earnings and price as a basis for compensating a manager when he trades on private information, and share price is set rationally based on privately held information, publicly available and contractible information, and publicly available but noncontractible information. In addition, we analyze the comparative statics of the compensation on reported earnings and price with respect to changes in the economy.

We analyze how analysts' forecasts relate to investor beliefs and describe the implications of these relations for price and volume reactions to earnings surprises. We show that dispersion among forecasts does not fully capture investor uncertainty. We also show how the relations between market reactions and forecast properties differ under the alternative assumptions of exogenous and endogenous private information acquisition. Finally, the analysis suggests refined tests for volume reactions at the time of an announcement. Our results indicate that the model is useful for understanding and interpreting empirical work and developing empirical tests of market reactions to announcements.

We assess earning's lack of timeliness and value-irrelavant noise in earnings as explanations for the weak contemporaneous return-earnings assocation. Earnings lack timeliness because objectivity, verifiability, and conservatism conventions underlie the accounting measurement process. Noise in earnings is uncorrelated with returns in all periods. It likely gets introduced when estimates of future cash flows that differ from the market's estimates are included in earnings determined by accounting rules. Consistent with earning lacking timeliness, we find current and future earnings adjusted for expectational errors explain roughly 3–6 times as much of the annual return variation as current earnings alone.

This paper studies accounting choice in 76 NYSE firms with persistent losses and dividend reductions (40% forced by binding covenants). We find that managers' accounting choices primarily reflect their firms' financial difficulties, rather than attempts to inflate income. Firms with and without binding covenants exhibit minor accrual differences in the ten years before the dividend reduction. In the dividend reduction and following three years, the full sample exhibits large negative accruals that likely reflect the fact that 87% of sample firms engage in contractual renegotiations -with lenders, unions, government, and/or management-that provide incentives to reduce earnings.

This study analyses the relation between cash compensation of bank CEOs and accounting earnings from selected discretionary transactions. Results indicate that income from discreationary transactions accompanied by cash flow effects is reflected in the CEO compensation function. There is no reliable indication that income from discreationary transactions unaccompanied by cash flows affects compensation. The impact of discreationary earnings on the compensation function varies as a function of firms' ‘nonperforming loans’. We interpret nonperforming loans as a proxy for the firm's future capital position. There is no support for a tax-based explanation for the link between compensation and discreationary earnings.

This paper provides evidence on the cross-sectional relation between firms' investment opportunities, their debt and compensation contracts, their size and financial leverage, and their accounting procedure choices. This evidence is important, because previous studies hypothesize that the link between firms' investment opportunities and their accounting choices helps explain extant results on the size, debt/equity, and bonus plan hypotheses. However, while I find that firms' investment opportunities do affect the nature of their contracts. I also find that the ‘traditional’ explanations for accounting choice are important after controlling for the effects of the investment opportunity set.

This study examines whether annual financial statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission are timely sources of information for investors. We examine a summary measure, the probability of bankruptcy, through which the release of financial statements might communicate information to investors. The results indicate that a significant association exists between revisions in the probability of bankruptcy due to nonearnings data and security returns over the fiscal year, but that investors have largely revised their estimates of the probability of bankruptcy prior to the release of the full financial statements.