Knowledge that Transforms

The price-earnings relation can be characterized as a system of simultaneous equations. Earnings and prices can behave as if they are both endogenously determined because they are jointly affected by information that is difficult to specify explicitly. Specification tests provide evidence that both earnings changes and price changes are endogenous. The price and earnings coefficients increase from OLS to joint estimation and, under a restrictive set of assumptions, provide increasingly similar estimates of the permanent component of earnings. The evidence is consistent with the contention that a portion of the single-equation bias can be mitigated via joint estimation.

We demonstrate the value-relevance of foreign earnings for US multinational firms by examining the associations between annual abnormal stock performance and changes in firms′ domestic and foreign incomes. For 2570 tirm-year observations between 1985 and 1993, both foreign and domestic earnings changes have significant positive associations with annual excess return measures: however, the association coefficient on foreign income is significantly larger than the association coefficient on domestic income. We demonstrate this larger association coefficient for foreign income is consistent with differences in growth opportunities between domestic and foreign operations.

Pre-announcement information is private information gathered in anticipation of a public disclosure. Event-period information is private information useful in conjunction with the announcement itself. Typically rational models of trade are based exclusively on one type of information. Such models are less descriptive of real market settings and misspecified empirically. Therefore, we introduce a model of rational trade with both features and discuss its implications.

This study tests assertions that Economic Value Added (EVA®) is more highly associated with stock returns and firm values than accrual earnings, and evaluates which components of EVA, if any, contribute to these associations. Relative information content tests reveal earnings to be more highly associated with returns and firm values than EVA, residual income, or cash flow from operations. Incremental tests suggest that EVA components add only marginally to information content beyond earnings. Considered together, these results do not support claims that EVA dominates earnings in relative information content, and suggest rather that earnings generally outperforms EVA.

I investigate factors affecting firms' uses of three types of performance metrics to evaluate division mangers: division accounting metrics, firm accounting metrics and firm stock price. Survey data reveal that division accounting metric use increases with the divisions' industry's price–earnings correlation and decreases with divisional growth opportunities; firm accounting metric use increases with the manager's impact on other divisions and decreases with growth opportunities and other managers' impact on that division; and firm stock price use increases with relative division size and the correlation between firm stock returns and market-wide returns.

This study examines discretionary disclosures and stock price effects for 81 UK firms that received first-time modified audit reports during 1982–1990. Results indicate that these firms' managers are forthcoming about adverse developments, and appear to perceive the advantages of withholding negative news to be minimal. However, managers of many of the 58 stressed sample firms make disclosures about expected future performance that are overly optimistic relative to financial outcomes. As expected, stock market participants discount these stressed firms' positive tone disclosures. Evidence in this study confirms that there is a strong incentive problem with voluntary disclosure.