Knowledge that Transforms

The effect that voluntarily disclosed managers' earnings forecasts have on the security prices of the announcing firms and other firms in the same industry is examined. The results are consistent with information content in managers' forecasts and with information transfer between forecast firms and other firms in the industry. These inferences are drawn from firms' abnormal returns computed from single- and two-index pricing models - where the latter includes market and industry indexes. Interestingly, while a positive information transfer is evident with market model residuals, once industry cross-sectional covariation in firms' returns is removed, no directional relation is apparent.

Studies of the information content of accounting earnings typically assume earnings response coefficients do not vary across firms. Valuation models relating earnings to security prices, however, predict that earnings response coefficients are positively associated with revision coefficients (coefficients relating current earnings to future earnings) and negatively associated with expected rates of return. A random coefficient regression model provides evidence consistent with these predictions. This evidence has implications for interpreting multiple regression models that relate abnormal returns to unexpected earnings and other information variables.

Stock pride change associated with a given unexpected earnings change (the earnings response coefficient) exhibits cross-sectional and temporal variation. We predict and document evidence that the earnings response coefficient is a function of riskless interest rates and the riskiness, growth and/or persistence of earnings. The earnings response coefficient also varies cross-sectionally with the holding period return interval. Collectively, our results explain the previously reported differential earnings response coefficient with respect to size. Moreover, by including the factors noted above, the empirical specification of the earnings/returns relation is significantly improved.

This paper reports evidence that dissident stockholders who wage a proxy contest for board seats typically site poor earnings rather than poor stock price performance as necessitating the proposed hostile management change. Consistent with this finding, sample firms' pre-contest accounting returns are systematically below-market, whereas their pre-contest stock returns are not. During an election campaign, incumbent managers apparently exercise their accounting discretion to paint a favorable picture of their own performance to voting stockholders. If elected, dissidents tend to take an immediate earnings ‘bath’ which they typically blame on the poor decisions of prior management.

Conventional management accounting principles used to evaluate relevant costs have been developed under the assumption of deterministic manufacturing settings. Manufacturing operations, however, are complex and stochastic. In this paper we examine the impact of stochasticity in the production process on relevant costs based on a dynamic assessment of capacity constraints. We develop a model to analyze the behavior of relevant costs with respect to changes in the expected duration and variability in set-ups and processing. An implication of this analysis is that for profit maximization capacity will exceed expected demand if production rates or demand are stochastic.

Researchers often restrict their sample selection to either December or non-December Compustat companies. However, no one has rigorously investigated the implications of this restriction. This paper compares financial characteristics of December and non-December year-end companies. December year-end firms are larger and have smaller betas as compared to companies with non-December year-ends. There are some strong industry concentrations in December year-ends, most notably in the regulated or recently deregulated industries. Retail sales firms have primarily non-December year-ends. A comparison of leverage ratios does not reveal a stable systematic difference between December and non-December year-end companies.

This study examines the effects of political and debt contracting costs on an intraperiod accounting choice. Export tax credits that New Zealand companies receive may be credited to sales ot to income tax expense. Compared to the credit to sales method, the tax reduction method reduces a company's reported tax rate and interest coverage ratio, both of which could have adverse economic consequences. The results indicate the credit to sales method is preferred by large companies that attract political scrutiny because of their low tax rates. The level of a firm's interest coverage is also related to that accounting choice.

This study examines why some New Zealand listed companies voluntarily present current cost financial statements. The results suggest that tax and political cost considerations are influential in the voluntary disclosure of current cost information.

This paper presents evidence that stock return prediction errors are less positively skewed in the time period surrounding accounting earnings report announcements than in a subsequent non- announcement period. Assuming that information available about firms in non-announcement periods depends on discretionary disclosure practices of firms and discretionary search for information by investors, the results suggest that earnings reports cause more extreme ‘bad news’ to be reflected in stock prices relative to discretionary sources of information.

This paper shows that the effect of nominal contracting on stock returns may be more important than previously believed. When information on the maturity structure of depreciation tax shields is incorporated into tests of the nominal contracting hypothesis, nominal contracting effects that are not otherwise detectable become so. Additionally, the proportion of stock return variation explained by nominal contracting effects and the aggregate effect on stock returns of depreciation tax shield revaluations are found to be greater than previously believed.