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The poor performance of foreign bank subsidiaries: Were the problems acquired or created?

Journal of Banking & Finance 1999 23(2-4), 579-604 open access
We examine foreign acquisitions of United States banks around the time of the ownership change to determine whether the observed poor performance of foreign subsidiaries is the result of changes in business strategy or the preexisting characteristics of the target bank. We find that many of the problems were already present at the time of acquisition. However, changes in business strategy by the foreign owners were generally not successful in raising the bank’s performance level to that of its domestic peers.

Hedging bonds subject to credit risk

Journal of Banking & Finance 1998 22(3), 321-345
This paper provides a simple and practical approach to hedging bonds that are subject to credit risk. Three new hedge ratios are derived and tested and the roles of basis risk and diversification is investigated. Empirical tests reveal that basis risk is an important factor in hedging corporate bonds. These tests identify a need for new interest rate derivatives where the underlying asset is subject to credit risk.

Multiple banking relationships and the fragility of corporate borrowers

Journal of Banking & Finance 1998 22(10-11), 1441-1456
The widespread Italian practice of multiple borrowing has been studied with respect to the continuity of bank lending and to the interest rates charged to individual borrowers. However, there is a lack of empirical evidence on the effects of multiple credit relationships over the fragility of the corporate borrowers. Two theses are competing: one asserts that multiple borrowing results in a desirable sharing of risks; the other, that the parcellization of loans substantially weakens the discipline exercised by the banks and makes corporate borrowers more fragile. Through multivariate techniques, we check whether the indicators describing the structure of lending relationships can help, along with balance-sheet variables, to separate healthy from failed firms. This exercise shows that multiple banking relationships are associated with a higher riskiness of the borrowers, even though the impact is moderate in comparison with the importance of real and financial variables derived from balance sheets.

Cross-border acquisitions and shareholder wealth: Tests of the synergy and internalization hypotheses

Journal of Banking & Finance 1996 20(9), 1559-1582
In this paper, we test the synergy and internalization hypotheses for international acquisitions using a sample of foreign acquisitions of U.S. firms during the period 1979–1990. The major findings include: First, shareholders of our paired sample of U.S. targets and foreign acquirers experienced significantly positive combined wealth gains, $68 million on average, indicating that cross-border takeovers are generally synergy-creating activities. Second, shareholders of the U.S. targets realized significant wealth gains, regardless of the nationality of acquirers. Third, the Japanese acquisitions in our sample generated the largest net wealth gains, $398 million on average, which was shared by both target shareholders (43%) and acquirer shareholders (57%). Fourth, foreign acquirers benefitted from the targets' R&D capabilities, supporting the ‘reverse-internalization’ hypothesis.

Implied volatility and future portfolio returns

Journal of Banking & Finance 2007 31(10), 3183-3199
Prior studies find that the CBOE volatility index (VIX) predicts returns on stock market indices, suggesting implied volatilities measured by VIX are a risk factor affecting security returns or an indicator of market inefficiency. We extend prior work in three important ways. First, we investigate the relationship between future returns and current implied volatility levels and innovations. Second, we examine portfolios sorted on book-to-market equity, size, and beta. Third, we control for the four Fama and French [Fama, E., French, K., 1993. Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics 33, 3–56.] and Carhart [Carhart, M., 1997. On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of Finance, 52, 57–82.] factors. We find that VIX-related variables have strong predictive ability.

Corporate bond returns and the financial crisis

Journal of Banking & Finance 2014 40, 42-53
We examine effects of government actions and related accounting policies on the corporate bond market implied by changes in relations between aggregate bond returns and cash flow and discount rate news. We capture the influence of risk by partitioning bonds into investment and speculative grades. We use earnings changes as a proxy for cash flow news and T-Bill rate changes as a proxy for discount rate news. As expected, during non-crisis periods, we observe a positive relation between earnings changes and bond returns and a negative relation for T-Bill rate changes. A combination of government bailouts of large financial institutions and mark-to-market accounting preserves the positive relation for earnings changes during the crisis for investment grade bonds, while absence of these factors leads to an insignificant relation for speculative grade. Intervention by the Federal Reserve to induce lower interest rates as earnings were declining, a flight to safety shifting demand from corporate bonds to T-Bills, and low cost funds invested in risk free investments explain a reversal of the relation between bond returns and T-Bill rate changes for both grades.