This paper proposes a new approach to evaluating banks’ liquidity needs, which is not only well-grounded theoretically, but is also easy to apply practically. Within the framework of a global game with imperfect information, we first establish a boundary condition for bank runs and show that there exists a unique Nash equilibrium for bank runs. Using the option-pricing approach, we then obtain a closed-form formula for the value of bank equity with both run risk and insolvency risk. Finally, a bank's optimal liquidity ratio is derived by maximizing the value of bank equity. Using data on Chinese listed banks, we show that the deviation of the actual liquidity ratio from the optimal liquidity ratio in a bank represents a robust proxy for its liquidity risk. An increased liquidity shortfall leads to worsening liquidity problems, and this is particularly pronounced when the liquidity shortfall is high.

This study investigates the relationship between ultimate ownership and stock price crash risk for Chinese firms and the impact on this relationship of the implementation of the split share structure reform, which rendered previously non-tradable shares freely tradable. We find that government-controlled firms, especially local ones, have a significantly higher crash risk than privately controlled firms. After the reform, crash risk of all firms decreases significantly, with a greater risk reduction for privately controlled firms than for government-controlled firms. Further evidence demonstrates that government-controlled firms with stronger political incentives tend to have higher crash risk.

We examine foreign lenders’ use of performance pricing provisions (PPPs) in syndicated loan contracts. First, we find that foreign lenders, as a result of both higher information asymmetry and greater renegotiation costs than their domestic counterparts, adopt PPPs instead of tight covenants in their contracts. Second, foreign lenders have a greater preference for PPPs based on credit ratings as opposed to those based on accounting ratios than their domestic counterparts. This is consistent with informationally disadvantaged foreign lenders valuing rating-based PPPs’ signaling role, with the role of accounting-based PPPs addressing the hold-up problem being less relevant to them. In addition, the above effects mainly exist when foreign lenders serve as participants rather than lead arrangers in the syndicate. Overall, our findings establish the important role played by rating-based PPPs in addressing foreign participant lenders’ information asymmetry and thereby promoting cross-border lending.