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The impact of RMB’s SDR inclusion on price discovery in onshore-offshore markets

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 127, 106124
In this study, we leverage various price discovery measurements to investigate whether and how the addition of the Chinese yuan in Special Drawing Right (SDR) affected price discovery in onshore (USD/CNY) and offshore (USD/CNH) markets. The results show that the less regulated offshore exchange rates contribute more to price discovery than the onshore rates do. Including the yuan in SDR does not change the relative price discovery contributions of the onshore and offshore markets, and more importantly, it enhances the overall price efficiency in both markets, due to lower autocorrelations in the error correction term and fewer arbitrage opportunities. In particular, the price spreads between the onshore and offshore markets decrease, implying that arbitrage opportunities have diminished, as market integration has increased, following the inclusion of the yuan in SDR.

What determines wholesale funding costs of the global systemically important banks?

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 132, 106197
Raising capital on wholesale debt markets is an important source of funding for banks and non-banking institutions throughout the world. We investigate the determinants of wholesale funding costs for the Global Systematically Important Banks (G-SIBs) using credit default swaps, the proxy for the cost of wholesale debt funding. Using 25 G-SIBs which are heavily reliant on debt capital markets across multiple currencies, this paper investigates whether the default risk of the interbank lending system, i.e., LIBOR-OIS spread is a new global macroeconomic factor in determining G-SIBs’ CDS spreads. Based on time-fixed effects and bank-fixed effects, we find default risk from the US banking system seems to play a greater role in explaining the wholesale funding costs of the G-SIBs than that of their home-country equivalent default risk. Overall, the findings make an important contribution to domestic and international debt funding markets and provide an insight for financial intermediaries, regulators, and monetary-policy makers.

Momentum life cycle, revisited

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 127, 106119
The momentum life cycle (MLC) hypothesis proposed by Lee and Swaminathan (2000) is spurious because it is largely driven by multiplying two widely documented effects on momentum and turnover. After controlling for these two effects, what remains is a negative return pattern for late-stage momentum, mostly driven by the higher returns of low-turnover losers. Although the higher returns of low-turnover losers disappear either under a risk adjustment or with the inclusion of NASDAQ stocks, they remain significant during periods of optimism, thus supporting the underreaction theory of momentum proposed by Hong and Stein (2007), whereby turnover proxies for the divergence of opinion among investors.

Management connectedness and corporate investment

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 124, 106042 open access
In response to the mixed views about the appointment-based connectedness between CEO and subordinate C-level executives, we systematically analyze the net effect of top management team (TMT) connectedness in the context of real corporate investment activities. We document a robust negative association between TMT connectedness and corporate investments, driven by the reduction in corporate R&D spending and acquisitions. Further tests show investment inefficiency in firms with closely connected managers, suggesting an average weak governance effect of TMT connectedness. To explain such an effect, we find that connected executives tend to avoid risky investments and shirk investment responsibilities when facing little career concerns. Interestingly, the agency cost and coordination benefit of interconnected TMT are not mutually exclusive. The adverse investment effect of TMT connectedness tempers in firms facing financial constraints and even reverses during the Global Financial Crisis when financial constraints are most likely binding.

How stable are corporate capital structures? International evidence

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 126, 106103
Using a large sample of firms from 43 markets, we find significant time-series variation in firms’ leverage ratios around the world. Industry median leverage ratios and aggregate leverage ratios also change substantially over time. Relative to actual leverage ratios, target leverage ratios estimated from the time-varying target models are much more stable. Variance decomposition shows that leverage instability is largely driven by deviations from the target. A number of firm and market characteristics are related to capital structure instability. We also find evidence consistent with firms using financing activities to adjust their leverage ratios towards the target in global markets.

Measuring financial interdependence in asset markets with an application to eurozone equities

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 122, 105985
A general measure of asset market interdependence based on higher order comoments is developed and applied to studying weekly U.S. and eurozone equity returns from 1990 to 2017. A new test of independence is also developed. The empirical results show that interdependence peaks during the global financial crisis with the covariance and covolatility comoments being the dominant factors. Conditioning the interdependence measure on volatility does not change the overall qualitative results. Implications of the results for constructing diversified portfolios reveal economic benefits from portfolios based on higher order comoments than the usual assumption of bivariate normality, especially during the GFC. The empirical results also provide evidence that European Union membership led to higher interdependence than did the adoption of the common currency.