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Political capital and CEO entrenchment: Evidence from CEO turnover in Chinese non-SOEs

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 42, 1-14 open access
Previous theoretical and empirical studies suggest that CEOs' political connections are valuable to firms. We examine whether such connections become entrenched if the expected political capital fails to materialize and the firm lacks other types of political power. Using a sample of listed non-SOEs in China, we show that politically connected CEOs have a lower probability of turnover and cause a weaker turnover-performance sensitivity than non-politically connected CEOs. Further analyses show that these turnover patterns are not consistent with alternative explanations, such as superior managerial ability, being a member of controlling families or being promoted from the inside. The turnover patterns are less pronounced in firms with alternative political power, such as connected boards or being vital to the local economy. Following the turnover of politically connected CEOs, firm performance does not necessarily undergo significant improvement. Our results call for new theories that comprehend the real effects of political connections.

Expropriation risk by block holders, institutional quality and expected stock returns

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 45, 122-149 open access
We study the asset pricing implications arising from imperfect investor protection using a new governance measure. This is defined as the product of institutional quality in a country and the proportion of free float shares, which captures the impact of controlling block holders. Using monthly returns of 4756 blue chip firms from 50 international equity markets for 13years, we show through tests of variants of the augmented-CAPM, that a two factor CAPM augmented with a factor mimicking portfolio based on our new investor protection metric yields the highest explanatory power, especially for markets that exhibit true variation in ownership types.

Why are firms listed in one country and private in other countries? The role of industry structure, banking sector and legal system

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 43, 480-499
Why are some firms listed and other firms private? and why do some countries, therefore, have relatively more listed firms than other countries? In this paper, we argue that different industries have different propensities to list on stock exchanges making the industrial structure of the country a major determinant of the size of the stock exchange and the proportion of listed firms. The questions are analyzed using individual firm data on the likelihood of European firms being listed or private. In addition, we show that the likelihood of listing is greater in countries where banks are allowed to engage in investment banking. Finally, after controlling for industrial structure and financial sector characteristics, we show that firms are more likely to list under the Scandinavian legal system than in common law or civil law countries.

Shareholder litigation, shareholder–creditor conflict, and the cost of bank loans

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 45, 318-332
I study how shareholder litigation affects the cost of bank loans via its impact on the distribution of bankruptcy estate and the conflict of interests between shareholders and creditors. Using a natural experiment based on a ruling by the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, I find that increasing the difficulty of class action suits decreases loan spreads. The effect is stronger for firms with higher institutional ownership, which is consistent with the argument that class actions suits help shareholders extract wealth from creditors when the firm is in bankruptcy. Further analysis shows that the effect is weaker for firms with stronger creditor protection in bankruptcy.

Are managers paid for better levels of pension funding?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 46, 25-33
Despite the evidence that full funding of defined benefit pension obligations is value maximizing, managerial price and volatility sensitivities (deltas and vegas) do not appear to influence funded status for all except the CFOs of plan sponsors with weak credit ratings (Anantharaman and Lee, 2014). Whether realized total compensation (as opposed to changes in the value of securities held) encourages full funding is an open question. Here we examine the empirical relation between realized managerial compensation and the extent to which plan liabilities are funded, and find that CEO pay bears a significant relation with funded status.

Do what you did four quarters ago: Trends and implications of quarterly dividends

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 43, 139-158
By analyzing the inter-temporal structure of quarterly dividends, we show that as more firms announce dividend increases exactly every four quarters, dividend policy has become more persistent and more predictable. Recently, nearly 60% of all dividend increases have been announced in four-quarter cycles. Valuation, earnings stability, and size are positively related to the propensity to adopt four-quarter cycles. More importantly, we provide evidence that this structure is incorporated into market participants' expectations about future dividend announcements. These findings may provide an explanation for two phenomena described in the literature: the declining information content of dividends and the higher degree of dividend smoothing.

Does the choice between fixed price and make whole call provisions reflect differential agency costs?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 46, 442-460
Bonds with either fixed price or make whole call provisions allow for the efficient recontracting of claims, but they differ in terms of their ability to mitigate debt agency costs. Controlling for the influence of bondholder-shareholder conflicts on both the level of covenant protection and selection of a particular type of call provision, we show that firms select call provisions with greater sensitivity to changes in the option-free value of the bond when agency problems are more severe. Our findings are consistent with the Barnea, Haugen and Senbet (1980) theorem that firms select fixed price callable debt to mitigate bondholder-shareholder conflicts.

Managerial myopia, financial expertise, and executive-firm matching

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 43, 464-479 open access
Existing literature emphasizes skills-based explanations for executive-firm matching, namely in the context of financial expertise. In contrast, our paper argues that informational concerns may also be relevant. We model a public firm with a project opportunity of uncertain quality, where long-run shareholders choose between hiring an operational manager or a financial expert. These managers are equally myopic, however financial experts are also privy to stock-market beliefs. Financial experts invest sub-optimally due to catering incentives, while operational managers tend to engage in signaling-driven overinvestment. We show that operational managers are preferred for low-NPV projects or when stock markets are well informed.

Political money contributions of U.S. IPOs

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 43, 19-38 open access
We produce the first study to explore the effect of political money contributions on IPOs. Exploiting a hand-collected database, we show that both lobbying and PAC expenditure pay off on issue day as donors incur less underpricing, an effect that can be amplified by contribution size and strategic targeting of recipients. Investigating the causes in multiple channels, we also associate donor IPOs with negative offer price revisions and lower aftermarket volatility. Collectively, our results offer new empirical grounding to the information asymmetry theory.