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Using Generalized Method of Moments to Test Mean-Variance Efficiency.

Journal of Finance 1991 46(2), 511-27
This paper develops tests of unconditional mean-variance efficiency under weak distributional assumptions using a generalized method of moments framework. These tests are potentially more robust than commonly employed tests which rely on the assumption that asset returns are normally distributed and temporarily i.i.d. Using returns for size-based portfolios from 1926 to 1988, the authors show that the conclusion concerning the mean-variance efficiency of market indexes can be sensitive to the test considered.

The Declining Credit Quality of U.S. Corporate Debt: Myth or Reality?

Journal of Finance 1998 53(4), 1389-1413
In recent years, the number of downgrades in corporate bond ratings has exceeded the number of upgrades, leading some to conclude that the credit quality of U.S. corporate debt has declined. However, an alternative explanation of this apparent decline in credit quality is that the rating agencies are now using more stringent standards in assigning ratings. An ordered probit analysis of a panel of firms from 1978 through 1995 suggests that rating standards have indeed become more stringent, implying that at least part of the downward trend in ratings is the result of changing standards.

The Declining Credit Quality of U.S. Corporate Debt: Myth or Reality?

Journal of Finance 1998 53(4), 1389-1413
In recent years, the number of downgrades in corporate bond ratings has exceeded the number of upgrades, leading some to conclude that the credit quality of U.S. corporate debt has declined. However, an alternative explanation of this apparent decline in credit quality is that the rating agencies are now using more stringent standards in assigning ratings. An ordered probit analysis of a panel of firms from 1978 through 1995 suggests that rating standards have indeed become more stringent, implying that at least part of the downward trend in ratings is the result of changing standards.

Order Imbalances and Stock Price Movements on October 19 and 20, 1987

Journal of Finance 1989 44(4), 827-848
On October 19, 1987, NYSE stocks in the S&P index declined seven percentage points more than NYSE stocks not in this index. In the first hour of trading on October 20, the S&P stocks virtually recovered to the level of the non‐S&P stocks. There is a strong relation between order imbalances and stock price movements, both in analyses of time series and cross‐sections. Thus, in addition to the breakdown in the linkage between future prices and the spot index on these two days, there were also breakdowns in the linkage among NYSE stocks.

Using Generalized Method of Moments to Test Mean‐Variance Efficiency

Journal of Finance 1991 46(2), 511-527
This paper develops tests of unconditional mean‐variance efflciency under weak distributional assumptions using a Generalized Method of Moments framework. These tests are potentially more robust than commonly employed tests which rely on the assumption that asset returns are normally distributed and temporarily i.i.d. Using returns for size‐based portfolios from 1926 to 1988 we show that the conclusion concerning the mean‐variance effilciency of market indexes can be sensitive to the test considered.