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Trading Mechanisms in Securities Markets.

Journal of Finance 1992 47(2), 607-41
This paper analyzes price formation under two trading mechanisms: a continuous quote-driven system where dealers post prices before order submission and an order-driven system where traders submit orders before prices are determined. The order-driven system operates either as a continuous auction, with immediate order execution, or as a periodic auction, where orders are stored for simultaneous execution. With free entry into market making, the continuous systems are equivalent. While a periodic auction offers greater price efficiency and can function where continuous mechanisms fail, traders must sacrifice continuity and bear higher information costs.

An Analysis of Changes in Specialist Inventories and Quotations.

Journal of Finance 1993 48(5), 1595-1628
The authors develop a dynamic model of market-making incorporating inventory and information effects. The marketmaker is both a dealer and an investor, quoting prices that induce mean reversion in inventory toward targets determined by portfolio considerations. The authors test the model with inventory data from a New York Stock Exchange specialist. Specialist inventories exhibit slow mean reversion, with a half-life of over forty-nine days, suggesting weak inventory effects. However, after controlling for shifts in desired inventories, the half-life falls to seven and three-tenths days. Further, quote revisions are negatively related to specialist trades and are positively related to the information conveyed by order imbalances.

Competition and Collusion in Dealer Markets.

Journal of Finance 1997 52(1), 245-76
This article develops a game-theoretic model to analyze marketmakers' intertemporal pricing strategies. The authors show that dealers who adopt noncooperative pricing strategies may set bid-ask spreads above competitive levels. This form of 'implicit collusion' differs from explicit collusion, where dealers cooperate to fix prices. Price discreetness or asymmetric information are not required for collusion to occur. Rather, institutional arrangements that restrict access to the order flow are important determinants of the ability to collude because they reduce dealers' incentives to compete on price. Public policy efforts to increase interdealer competition should focus on such restrictions.

Discussion

Journal of Finance 2001 56(4), 1485-1488
This paper contributes to the ongoing debate over the relative merits of floor versus automated systems. Although this is one of the most contentious issues in market microstructure (Madhavan (2000) provides a survey), relatively little empirical analysis has been performed. This paper fills this void; it compares and contrasts execution costs in Paris and New York in an effort to provide empirical evidence for the relative merits of the two systems. The two markets studied are both auction markets-involving public-public trades for the most part-but differ in the level of automation. Specifically, Paris operates as a continuous automated auction while the NYSE uses a floor-based system. I enjoyed the paper, especially the careful and thorough discussion of the different dimensions in which the two systems differ. For this reason alone, I would recommend the paper to anyone interested in learning more about this issue. On the empirical side, the paper compares execution costs (using now-standard metrics) in the two systems, controlling for firm effects by using matched samples. Stocks are carefully matched by characteristics including price, size, volume, and industry. The paper finds that the NYSE offers lower trading costs, concluding: “These results suggest that the present form of the automated trading system may not be able to fully replicate the benefits of human intermediation on a trading floor.” While the study is well-motivated and carefully executed, I have some concerns about the interpretation of the empirical results presented here. No study can control for all the factors affecting market outcomes, but there are many institutional details unrelated to automated trading that affect costs in Paris and NYSE. These factors operate not necessarily just at the level of the market, but also at the overall “environmental” level. Some of the more important ones include: (1) The NYSE uses a specialist system, with a designated market maker or specialist, while the Paris Bourse has no such functionary. Numerous studies (e.g., Madhavan and Sofianos (1997)) show that specialists can and do affect the speed of price discovery, the efficiency of prices, spreads, and so forth. Are the results here a comment on the floor system or the specialist system? (2) The overall market structure in the United States is very different from the market structure in Paris. NYSE-listed stocks can be traded by alternative trading systems (POSIT, Arizona Stock Exchange), Regional exchanges (Boston, Philadelphia), and ECNs, among others. By contrast, Paris has a much more centralized and less fragmented market. Could greater competition for the NYSE explain its lower costs? (3) Other differences between France and the United States, such as insider trading rules, macro risk factors and overall level of market activity, might affect even a matched sample of stocks. Again, are these factors secondary to automation or not? Intermarket comparisons are extremely tricky. Can we ever assure a fair “apples to apples” comparison? Perhaps, but only in very controlled situations with natural experiments (Amihud, Mendelson, and Lauterbach (1997)) or with the use of experimental economics. While it is common to make inferences about market structure based on effective spreads, this can be misleading in an auction market. Consider the following example of a buy order that executes at the ask price of $102 when the midquote is $100, for an effective spread of two percent. In this case, the liquidity demander (who submitted the market order) pays two percent while the liquidity provider (not necessarily a specialist or market maker) receives two percent. Who would be disadvantaged if the spread were to fall? Narrower spreads benefit liquidity demanders but make liquidity providers worse off. In a dealer market where competitive dealers provide liquidity, higher spreads mean higher costs for investors but not necessarily higher rents for dealers. In this case, lower effective spreads are unambiguously better for the economy. But it is unclear to me how in an auction market to interpret effective spreads or a mixed hybrid market like the NYSE where the dealer has a small, but significant participation rate (Madhavan and Sofianos (1997)). So-called upstairs intermediaries can cushion the impact of large-block trades; often upstairs-intermediated trades occur within the quoted bid-offer spread. Consequently, the measured cost of trading for blocks might be very low if these markets exist and are efficient (Madhavan and Cheng (1997)), as they are in both Paris and New York. Differences in the costs of trading across systems may have less to do with automation than with the state of development of the upstairs market. The key point to note here is that the existence of upstairs markets is not necessarily linked to the existence of a physical floor. Nor does automation preclude upstairs trading. Upstairs trading could be fully electronic, anonymous (e.g., POSIT), and automated, or could rely on brokers making telephone calls. Without information on how upstairs activity varies across the two systems, it is impossible to assess the cost of trading for large blocks. The results are most clearly interpreted for smaller trades. Previous studies document a wide range in trading costs across countries. Domowitz, Glen, and Madhavan (2000) report that Paris and New York are among the lowest cost markets in a comparison of 45 countries. Costs in Paris are just 30 basis points (one way) versus New York with 35 basis points. This is consistent with the result here, but it means that we are comparing two very low-cost systems to learn more about one dimension in which they differ, namely automation. The second problem is that these differences are economically small, and measuring trading costs (especially implicit trading costs) is very difficult. Indeed, the standard error with these estimates could easily swamp the differences reported here of 14 basis points. Essentially, we have no economically compelling evidence that costs differ between the two systems. Most major non-U.S. markets use automated auctions. Examples in equities include ECNs, Toronto Stock Exchange, Euronext (Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels), and the Deutsche Börse; in fixed income: eSpeed and BondNet; in foreign exchange: Reuters 2002 and EBS; and in derivatives: Eurex, Globex, Matif, and LIFFE. This “revealed preference” suggests that the value of the floor, if any, is dominated by other advantages automated systems have including speed, anonymity, transparency, reliability, and lower costs of operation. Given this clear preference for the automated auction, it is instructive to ask why we do not see the same pressures in the United States. One factor is undoubtedly the nature of governance structures, a factor closely related to automation. The institution of exchange seats, and the mutualized governance structure, are associated with floor markets where physical space is at a premium. An automated, electronic market has no such capacity constraints, obviating the need to limit entry. Demutualization allows automation, because a for-profit governance structure leads to more rational decision making. In the United States, the pressures to demutualize, and hence to automate, are not yet as apparent as in the rest of the world.

International Cross-Listing and Order Flow Migration: Evidence from an Emerging Market

Journal of Finance 1998 53(6), 2001-2027
Policymakers in emerging markets are increasingly concerned about the consequences for the domestic equity market when companies list stock abroad. We show that the effects of cross-listing depend on the quality of intermarket information linkages. We investigate these issues with unique data from the Mexican equity market. The impact of cross-listing is complex—balancing the costs of order flow migration against the benefits of increased intermarket competition. These effects are exacerbated by equity investment barriers that induce segmentation of the domestic equity market. Consequently, the benefits and costs of cross-listing are not evenly spread over all classes of shareholders.

Market Segmentation and Stock Prices: Evidence From an Emerging Market.

Journal of Finance 1997 52(3), 1059-85
The authors examine the relationship between stock prices and market segmentation induced by ownership restrictions in Mexico. The focus is on multiple classes of equity that differentiate between foreign and domestic traders, and between domestic individuals and institutions. Significant stock price premia are documented for shares not restricted to a particular investor group. The authors analyze the theoretical and empirical determinants of premia across firms and over time. In addition to economywide factors, segmentation reflects the relative scarcity of unrestricted shares. The results provide additional support for Rene Stulz and Walter Wasserfallen's (1995) hypothesis that firms discriminate between investor groups with different demand elasticities.

Trading Mechanisms in Securities Markets

Journal of Finance 1992 47(2), 607-641
This paper analyzes price formation under two trading mechanisms: a continuous quote‐driven system where dealers post prices before order submission and an order‐driven system where traders submit orders before prices are determined. The order‐driven system operates either as a continuous auction , with immediate order execution, or as a periodic auction , where orders are stored for simultaneous execution. With free entry into market making, the continuous systems are equivalent. While a periodic auction offers greater price efficiency and can function where continuous mechanisms fail, traders must sacrifice continuity and bear higher information costs.

An Analysis of Changes in Specialist Inventories and Quotations

Journal of Finance 1993 48(5), 1595
We develop a dynamic model of market making incorporating inventory and information effects. The market maker is both a dealer and an investor, quoting prices that induce mean reversion in inventory toward targets determined by portfolio considerations. We test the model with inventory data from a New York Stock Exchange specialist. Specialist inventories exhibit slow mean reversion, with a half-life of over 49 days, suggesting weak inventory effects. However, after controlling for shifts in desired inventories, the half-life falls to 7.3 days. Further, quote revisions are negatively related to specialist trades and are positively related to the information conveyed by order imbalances.

An Analysis of Changes in Specialist Inventories and Quotations

Journal of Finance 1993 48(5), 1595-1628
We develop a dynamic model of market making incorporating inventory and information effects. The market maker is both a dealer and an investor, quoting prices that induce mean reversion in inventory toward targets determined by portfolio considerations. We test the model with inventory data from a New York Stock Exchange specialist. Specialist inventories exhibit slow mean reversion, with a half‐life of over 49 days, suggesting weak inventory effects. However, after controlling for shifts in desired inventories, the half‐life falls to 7.3 days. Further, quote revisions are negatively related to specialist trades and are positively related to the information conveyed by order imbalances.