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FINANCIAL RATIOS AS DISCRIMINANT PREDICTORS OF SMALL BUSINESS FAILURE*

Journal of Finance 1972 27(1), 139-140 open access
ratios with a specific occurrence or condition has not been quantitatively defined until very recently.In recent years several articles have reported scien tific ratio analysis research.William H. Beaver's study of firms during 1954-64 found that some ratios predicted failure 2 up to five years in advance.Edvard Altman introduced multi ple discriminant analysis as a statistical technique in finan cial ratio research and found five ratios which reliably pre-3 dieted bankruptcy up to two years prior to its occurrence.In his 1969 unpublished dissertation, David Ewert isolated 4 three ratios as good predictors of trade credit quality.The need for empirical verification of priori beliefs is being recognized by scholars, and scientific research of ratio analy sis is being undertaken.This dissertation will report the results of a study attempting to improve the empirical foundation for a theory of ratio analysis and to answer the question, is ratio analysis of small business financial state ments useful in predicting the failure of a small business? 2

The Relation Between Common Stock Returns Trading Activity and Market Value

Journal of Finance 1983 38(4), 1075-1086
This study examines the relation between common stock returns, trading activity and market value. Our results indicate that although firm size and trading activity are highly correlated, differences in trading activity are not the underlying reason for the firm size anomaly, the finding of systematic differences in risk adjusted returns across stocks of firms of different size.