Knowledge that Transforms

Lottery bonds are Danish Treasury obligations which make coupon payments by lottery. Professional traders have a tax preference for the coupon lottery, while investors are tax-neutral and take the other side of the trade. Consistent with tax-based explanations of abnormal ex-day returns, we find that prices fall by more than the lottery mean. Surprisingly, we also find that the price drop over the lottery decreases with the lottery variance. This suggests that investors do not like the lottery. In fact, the Danish Treasury has been able to sell more lottery bonds only by offering above market interest rates. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G12, G35, G63.

This paper presents a model of competition in the banking industry based upon the interplay of two factors: the level of capitalization of banks and their ability to monitor different types of projects (i.e., their expertise). In a setting of moral hazard with limited liability, banks must receive some rents to induce them to monitor projects diligently. The rents are decreasing in the banks' expertise and in the amount of capital that banks are able to commit to a project. This leads to a trade-off between capital and expertise. The analysis shows how shocks to bank capital and interest rates, and technological shocks can affect competition and monitoring efficiency in the banking sector. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G21, G32.

For over a century, economists and policymakers have debated the relative merits of bank-based versus market-based financial systems. Recent research, however, argues that classifying countries as bank- or market-based is not a very fruitful way to distinguish financial systems. This paper represents the first broad, cross-country examination of which view of financial structure is more consistent with the data. The results indicate that although overall financial development is robustly linked with economic growth, there is no support for either the bank-based or the market-based view. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G0, K2, O4.

Firms that go public produce information that influences the production decisions of their rivals as well as their own production decisions. If information-production costs are borne primarily by pioneering firms, market failures can occur in which both pioneers and followers remain private and make ill-informed investment decisions. Solving this coordination problem requires a transfer between pioneers and followers that leads to a more equitable distribution of information-production costs. We contend that investment banks can enforce such a transfer by effectively bundling IPOs within an industry. This suggests an explanation for clustering of IPOs through time and within industries. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G24, G28, K32.

This paper compares two trading mechanisms in a dealer market with several securities exhibiting asymmetric information and imperfect competition. These two market structures differ in the information received by market-makers. While in the first of them when setting the price of an asset, they observe the order flows of all assets, in the second one they only observe the order flow corresponding to this asset. In order to make this comparison, we analyze several market indicators such as the informed expected traded volume, the market depth, the volatility and the informativeness of equilibrium prices, and the informed traders' ex-ante expected profits. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G10.

Intrastate branching deregulation allowed correspondent banks to enter downstream retail deposit markets. Integrated correspondent banks may engage in vertical foreclosure, raising prices to downstream rivals or extracting valuable competitive information. The Federal Reserve would then tend to gain market share from private correspondent banks. Deregulation of restrictions on the formation of multibank holding companies, in contrast, allowed other correspondents to enter, increasing competition. We test these hypotheses using a panel data set of respondent account balances. We find that the Federal Reserve became a more important supplier of correspondent services following branching deregulation and that market power in the correspondent market declined following multibank holding company deregulation. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: D43, G21, G28, L11.