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Trade reforms and firm value: Worldwide evidence

Journal of Financial Stability 2026 82, 101481 open access
Tariffs are commonly used to protect domestic firms from foreign competition. Using 25 major trade reforms implemented in 17 countries around the world since 1990, we document that firm value significantly increases following reductions in import tariffs. This value enhancement is concentrated in emerging markets and countries with stronger ex-ante competition laws. We identify two channels driving the increase in firm value: an increase in firm efficiency and profit margins due to lower input costs, and an increase in CEO turnover-performance and pay-performance sensitivity driven by increased competition. Overall, our findings underscore the importance of trade liberalization, while also highlighting the critical role of institutional support in fostering competition from foreign firms to stimulate private sector growth. • Firm value rises significantly after major tariff reductions worldwide. • Reduced input costs and improved managerial incentives drive value enhancement. • Effects are amplified in small, manufacturing, and import-dependent firms • Effects are concentrated in emerging markets and countries with competitive legal frameworks. • Trade reforms increase firm investment, product development, and operating efficiency

Regulatory intensity and stock liquidity

Journal of Financial Stability 2026 85, 101552 open access
Using comprehensive regulatory intensity metrics from 1993 to 2019, we document that increased regulatory burden significantly reduces stock liquidity in U.S. public firms. To establish causality, we exploit exogenous variation in regulatory intensity following state ruling party changes. This identification strategy confirms that the negative relationship is causal rather than merely correlational. Our analysis reveals that information asymmetry serves as the primary mechanism, as regulatory intensity increases uncertainty about firms’ future operations, exacerbating information asymmetry between investors and companies. The liquidity deterioration is particularly pronounced for firms with higher investment irreversibility, greater financial constraints, and those without government customers. These findings contribute to understanding how regulatory burdens affect market functioning.

Does liquidity regulation reduce bank and systemic risk? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment

Journal of Financial Stability 2026 84, 101550 open access
Banks play a central role in the financial system and benefit the real economy by managing risk, and providing finance to households, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporates and governments. However, their complexity, opacity and interconnectedness can elevate bank-level and systemic risks, posing dangers to the financial system and real economy. This was evident during the global financial crisis where taxpayer funded bailouts were used to rescue ailing banks, which in turn led to an overhaul of regulation and supervision. Consequently, safeguarding bank stability and addressing systemic risks via well designed regulations is essential for ensuring economic resilience and societal well-being. This study uses a quasi-natural experimental research design in the form of the Dutch Liquidity Balance Rule (LBR) to evaluate the impacts of liquidity regulation on bank-level stability and systemic risk. Our findings show that following the introduction of liquidity regulation, the stability of Dutch banks increases significantly relative to counterparts in neighbouring countries unaffected by the regulation. The observed reduction in risk stems from improved capitalization and reduced leverage, which contribute to greater financial stability. Systemic risk also decreases. Our findings have relevance beyond our research setting for policymakers tasked with implementing and monitoring the impacts of similar forms of liquidity regulation (such as bank liquidity coverage ratios) post global financial crisis.

Asset fire sales in an incomplete market economy

Journal of Financial Stability 2026 84, 101537 open access
This paper introduces the ``limited arbitrage'' asset pricing mechanism into a pure exchange general equilibrium economy. The ``limited arbitrage'' model insists on the role of financial intermediaries in conducting fire sales. In our model, financial markets are incomplete, and households face uninsured idiosyncratic endowment risks. Given such market incompleteness, financial intermediaries can gain arbitrage profits by issuing risk-free debts and investing in risky assets. However, the margin requirement ratio limits the amount of debt. Shocks to intermediaries' balance sheets force them to repay debt and sell shares, causing stock prices to deviate from fundamental levels. We investigate how the risk of a fire sale affects the desirable financial regulation. Lowering the margin requirement ratio has the following trade-offs for welfare. On the one hand, it exaggerates a decline in stock prices due to fire sales, which deteriorates welfare. On the other hand, it improves welfare by providing households with sufficient self-insurance measures against their idiosyncratic endowment risks. Our numerical examples show that a natural debt limit under a laissez-faire economy is undesirable. Governments can improve welfare by introducing financial regulations (raising the margin requirement ratio).

Unveiling the dark side of sustainability: Are banks’ ESG misrepresentations truly worthwhile?

Journal of Financial Stability 2026 85, 101554 open access
By analyzing a sample of US and European listed banks over the years 2015–2022, we investigate the relationship between greenwashing behavior and systemic risk. We use a measure of greenwashing that considers the consistency of what banks disclose with what they actually do to address ESG-related issues. We find that engaging in greenwashing practices contributes to undermining financial stability, with a rise in systemic risk which is exacerbated for less efficient and larger banks. Market seems to acknowledge a superior informative value to banks’ actual ESG performance, giving less importance to what they disclose. Finally, a better performance in each of the environmental, social and governance dimensions reduces systemic risk, but only a bank’s commitment in addressing environment-related issues seems to moderate the contribution of greenwashing to financial system fragility.