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Risk Premia on Municipal Bonds

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1978 13(3), 475
The finance literature has devoted considerable attention to the study of yields, yield spreads, and rating classification for fixed income securities. In the corporate market, authors such as Hickman [6], Johnson [7], Sloane [9], and Van Home [12] have investigated the behavior of yields and yield spreads over time. Johnson found that the yield differential, defined as the corporate yield minus the equal maturity Treasury rate, was unrelated to maturity. Van Home found that this differential widened during recessionary periods; he interpreted this to reflect either a higher default probability or greater investor risk aversion. In his important paper published in 1959, Lawrence Fisher [4] employed cross-sectional data at five points in time to relate corporate yield spreads to four key variables which serve as proxies for default and marketability risks. Pogue and Soldofsky [8] extended Fisher's approach to explain not corporate bond yield spreads but rather bond ratings. As explanatory variables, Pogue and Soldofsky chose several measures of the firm's income and debt capacity.

An Analytical Model of Interest Rate Differentials and Different Default Recoveries

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1977 12(3), 481
In this paper we have extended the Bierman-Hass model to include the effect of a second parameter, the terms of settlement in the event of default. The addition of this second factor was found to not alter the independence between a bond's risk differential and its maturity. Our analysis of the required risk differential for various borrower credit characteristics demonstrates the tradeoff between p and γ. Throughout, we have assumed the loan size does not affect p or γ.