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Bank Competition and Entrepreneurial Gaps: Evidence from Bank Deregulation

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(4), 1660-1694
I analyze the effects of bank competition on gender and racial gaps in entrepreneurship. By leveraging interstate bank deregulation from 1994 to 2021, I find that stronger bank competition increases the quantity and quality of banking services offered to minority borrowers. Developing a novel measure of discrimination using narrative information in the complaints filed with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, I demonstrate that bank competition reduces discrimination, alleviating the financial constraints of female and minority entrepreneurs. Stronger bank competition also reduces gender and racial gaps in firm performance and business equity accumulation, promoting wealth equality and fostering equitable economic growth.

Skewness Risk Premia and the Cross Section of Currency Returns

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(4), 1565-1603 open access
Using model-free skewness measures that exploit the asymmetry in semivariances and option data from the over-the-counter currency market, we find that buying currencies with a high skewness risk premium (SRP) and selling currencies with a low SRP generates high returns and a Sharpe ratio. Asset pricing tests—which control for omitted variables and measurement errors—show that a SRP factor enters the currency pricing kernel and is central to the pricing of risks inherent in a broad currency cross section of 60 portfolio excess returns. These results imply that skewness risk is a strong and priced source of currency risk.

When Spotlights Fade: Local Newspaper Closures and Financial Advisor Misconduct

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 480-510
Using individual records of about 950,000 financial advisors, we find that the probability and intensity of financial advisor misconduct significantly increase after local newspaper closures. The impact is more pronounced in counties with a higher proportion of seniors, minorities, and individuals with lower education levels. Male advisors are more likely to commit misconduct following newspaper closures than female advisors. The sensitivity of advisors’ job turnover to misconduct decreases after closures, suggesting a lower cost of committing misconduct. Our evidence indicates that local newspapers play a distinct role in mitigating financial advisor misconduct, as media exposure raises the costs of misbehavior.

Is the Value Premium Dead? Forecasting Value–Growth Cycles with the Implied Value Premium

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 open access
We introduce the implied value premium ( IVP ), the difference between the implied costs of capital of value and growth stocks, to predict time variation in the ex post value premium. During 1977–2023, IVP is the strongest predictor of the ex post value premium. It also predicts the investment premium, consistent with the Investment CAPM. However, IVP ’s ability to predict the difference in cumulative abnormal returns around quarterly earnings announcements of value and growth stocks suggests that mispricing may also play a role. Overall, our results suggest that recent value underperformance reflects cyclical variation rather than a permanent shift.

A Social Norm Perspective on Distorted Information in China

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 370-408 open access
Can social norms give rise to distorted information in China? We observe that China’s leading social norm related to alcohol consumption and social drinking enhances earnings management. An analysis of toxic alcohol scandals supports a causal interpretation. Further evidence suggests that the influence of alcohol may come from the negative externality that it creates, which is propagated by corporate leaders and cannot be attenuated by market-oriented institutions. Our results reveal a social norm externality that may have important normative implications.

Betting Against the Crowd: Option Trading and Market Risk Premium

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 open access
We study how equity option trading affects the market risk premium. We find that a measure of aggregate call order imbalance (ACIB), defined as the cross-sectional average of the difference between open-buy and open-sell volume, negatively forecasts future stock market returns significantly from days to months. Moreover, ACIB represents an option-based investor sentiment measure that accounts for excess option buying or selling, and is highly correlated with the stock investor sentiment. Our findings shed new insights on the distinctions for call and put option trading, index and equity option trading, and cross-sectional and time-series predictions.

Measuring the Economic Value of an Innovation When Some Investors Are Inattentive

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 206-238 open access
We analyze the effects of limited investor attention on the stock market reaction to innovation announcements and develop a new measure of patents’ economic value. We hypothesize that, when some investors pay delayed attention to innovation announcements, there will be a post-announcement drift in addition to the announcement effect, with the former decreasing and the latter increasing in investor attention. Using media coverage and abnormal Google search volume as investor attention proxies, we find consistent evidence. Our new attention-weighted measure of patents’ economic value has greater predictive power for future firm performance than measures based on the announcement effect alone.