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Trading Volume and Information Revelation in Stock Markets

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2001 36(4), 545
I consider a market microstructure model in which the rates of public and private informa? tion arrival are probabilistic. The latter depends on the availability of private information that is stochastically changing over time. In equilibrium, traders estimate the availability of private information using past periods' trading volume and use this information to adjust their strategies. The time-series properties include contemporaneous correlation between price variability and volume and autocorrelation in price variability (similar to GARCH). The model explains why trading volume contains useful information for predicting volatil? ity and provides predictions on the limit and market order placement strategies of traders.

Corporate Governance, Finance, and the Real Sector

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2012 47(6), 1187-1214 open access
We present a theory of the linkages between corporate governance, corporate finance, and the real sector of an economy. Using a structural model of industry equilibrium with endogenous entry, we show that poor corporate governance leads to low levels of competition, and to firms with high insider ownership and leverage. In contrast, good corporate governance promotes the adoption of more efficient technologies and development of sectors more exposed to moral hazard. We use our model to study equity market liberalization, and we show that liberalizations facilitate entry and adoption of more productive technologies, especially in countries with good corporate governance.