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Family Law Effects on Divorce, Fertility, and Child Investment

Journal of Labor Economics 2025 43(S1), S351-S397
To assess the child welfare impact of policies governing divorced parenting, such as child support orders, child custody assignments, and marital dissolution standards, one must consider their influence not only on the divorce rate but also on spouses’ fertility choices and child investments. We develop a model of fertility, parenting, and divorce, from which we derive estimates of parental preferences and a child cognitive ability production function, using data on parental time allocation, children’s cognitive attainment, and realized fertility and divorce. Family policies that reduce divorce are simulated to have significant negative impacts on both fertility and child development.

Firm Heterogeneity in Skill Returns

Journal of Labor Economics 2025 43(3), 695-723 open access
We quantify firm heterogeneity in skill returns and present direct evidence of worker-firm complementarities. Within a model of firms’ demand for cognitive and noncognitive attributes, we show that identification depends on the availability of skill measures. Linking administrative data to test scores, we document worker sorting and convex earnings-skill relationships. We find that (1) both skills’ returns vary substantially across employers and correlate weakly within firms; (2) workers with large endowments of a skill populate firms with higher returns to it, and sorting intensifies with the cross-sectional dispersion of returns; and (3) complementarities and sorting significantly influence the earnings distribution.

The Impact of the Level and Timing of Parental Resources on Child Development and Intergenerational Mobility

Journal of Labor Economics 2025 43(S1), S269-S301
This study explores relationships between parental resource trajectories and child development and their implications for intergenerational mobility. By modifying the child skill formation technology to incorporate new skills emerging during adolescence, we analyze the importance of the timing of family resources on life outcomes, educational attainment, and participation in crime. Parental financial resources partially offset deficiencies in nonpecuniary inputs to children’s human capital. Estimates of the intergenerational influence on child outcomes are strongly influenced by the choice of lifetime versus snapshot parental income measures. The most predictive ages of children when family resources are measured vary by the outcome analyzed.