Knowledge that Transforms

In "The Inefficiency of Interest-bearing National Debt" (J.P.E. [April 1979]), we argued that private sector transaction costs are needed in order to explain interest on government debt. It follows that if the government's transaction costs do not depend on its portfolio, then, barring special circumstances, an open-market purchase is deflationary and welfare improving. In this paper we show that this result can survive a potentially relevant special circumstances: reserve requirements which limit the size of insured intermediaries.

This paper examines empirically the relationship between innovative activity, as measured by the rate of return to research-and-development expenditures, and firm size using a sample of firms from the chemicals and allied products industry (SIC 28). We find that size is a prerequisite for successful innovative activity. The estimated rate of return to research and development for the smaller firms is 30 percent, while for the larger size firms it is 78 percent. Statistical tests for structural stability were used to divide the sample into these two behavioral regimes.

Although estimates of the fertility-labor supply relationship abound, a full appreciation of the interpretation of such estimates has been lacking, regardless of the empirical strategy employed. This paper attempts to elucidate, within the context of a life-cycle decision-making process, the information contained in the estimated association between fertility and labor supply as calculated from "single" and "simultaneous-equations" estimation techniques. We also present a statistical methodology based upon the occurrence of twins in the first pregnancy and provide estimates, using that methodology, of the extent to which women's life-cycle labor supply decisions respond to exogenous (and, in this case, unanticipated) extra children.