Knowledge that Transforms

Previous articleNext article FreeJPE Turnaround Times, Previous Two YearsPDFPDF PLUSFull Text Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJPE Turnaround Times, Previous Two Years Outcome of 1st Round DecisionsMean Days to DecisionMedian Days to DecisionDecision Later than Six Months after Submission (as Percentage of Decisions within Decision Type)Desk Rejection57%1170%Reject with Reviews35%1349621%1st Round R&R9%21217547%View Table Image Previous articleNext article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 6December 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/701585 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Previous articleNext article FreeRecent RefereesFull TextPDF Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJournal of Political Economy acknowledges the assistance of:Daron AcemogluJerome AddaSumit AgarwalAnna AizerS. Nageeb AliDouglas AlmondRicardo AlonsoAttila AmbrusGene AmrominMichael L. AndersonCostas ArkolakisEnghin AtalayAndrew AtkesonOrazio AttanasioAlan AuerbachDavid Austen-SmithEduardo AzevedoSandeep BaligaNicholas BarberisPanle BarwickJonathan BeauchampPeter BellwoodDaniel BenjaminPietro BiroliDaniel BjorkegrenDorthe BlesesAndrea BonfattiJohn BoundSamuel BowlesBen BrooksLorenzo CasaburiHector ChadeKarim ChalakSylvain ChassangRaj ChettyDamon ClarkKerem CosarGordon DahlJulio DavilaLucas DavisJan De LoeckerMariacristina De NardiWill DobbieCarlos DobkinUlrich DoraszelskiJohn DriscollOeindrila DubeSteven DurlaufChristian DustmannJesse EdgertonMark EganLars EhlersMichal FabingerErnst FehrRaymond FismanChristopher FlinnNicole FortinEyal FrankCarola FrydmanTitus GalamaDaniel GarrettPieter GautierMatthew GentzkowClaudia GoldinMikhail GolosovAustan GoolsbeeOlivier GossnerAdam GurenMarcus HagedornRobert HallDaniel HamermeshJoseph HarringtonJohn HatfieldTarjei HavnesBenjamin HebertOri HeffetzThomas HolmesRichard HornbeckSteffen HuckPatrick HummelMitsuru IgamiKoichiro ItoGregor JaroschRuixue JiaKoen JochmansLouis KaplowJakub KastlRyan KelloggWilliam KerrPatrick KlineFrederic KoesslerAnton KolotilinScott KominersDirk KruegerPer KrusellMarianna KudlyakJeanne LafortuneFabian LangeJohn LazarevJacob LeshnoIlse LindenlaubElliot LipnowskiMolly LipscombAlessandro LizzeriLee LockwoodKatrine LokenLambert LumeyDavid MalisonIoana MarinescuLaurent MathevetRosa MatzkinIgnacia MercadalKarel MertensGuy MichaelsBenny MoldovanuEduardo MoralesMassimo MorelliJack MountjoyKathleen MullenEmi NakamuraJ. NearyDavid NeumarkPaul NiehausPascal NoelNathan NunnEzra OberfieldDmitry OrlovGerard Padro i MiquelMarianne PageAmanda PallaisRonni PavanJohn PepperFranco PeracchiKenneth PomeranzValerie RameyGautam RaoImran RasulStephen ReddingPatrick ReyJessica ReyesDavid RibarMark RosenzweigMartin RotembergAlvin RothNicholas RyanViplav SainiRaul Sanchez de la SierraCezar SantosWolfram SchlenkerStephan SeilerKathryn ShawHolger SiegCarolyn SloaneLones SmithTayfun SonmezDavid SplinterRobert StaigerChristopher StantonJohannes StroebelJuan Carlos Suarez SerratoTakuo SugayaAndrew SweetingIna TanevaPietro TebaldiPetra ToddAlexander TorgovitskyJose Tudon MaldonadoMatthew TurnerJay Van BavelEric Van WincoopSofia Villas-BoasMaria WaldingerChristopher WaltersDavid WeilMichael WhinstonAlexander WolitzkyArlene WongDaniel Yi XuDanny YaganH. YoungNoam YuchtmanArianna ZanoliniAndy ZapechelnyukAlexander ZentefisEkaterina ZhuravskayaJames ZiliakJonathan Zinman Previous articleNext article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 4August 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/699946 Views: 89 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved. Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Previous articleNext article FreeRecent RefereesPDFPDF PLUSFull Text Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJournal of Political Economy acknowledges the assistance of:Jerome AddaIngela AlgerDouglas AlmondRicardo AlonsoJose ApesteguiaPeter ArcidiaconoCostas ArkolakisEnghin AtalayDavid AtkinEric AuerbachGhazala AzmatPierre AzoulayDaniel BarronJere BehrmanDaniel BenjaminMartin BerajaDavid BergerTheodore BergstromSonia BhalotraVivek BhattacharyaSushil BikhchandaniL. Kamran BilirFrederic BoissayStephane BonhommeGharad BryanLuis CabralDavide CantoniAndrew CaplinChristopher ChambersSylvain ChassangYeon-Koo CheJudith ChevalierJohn CochraneJ. Anthony CooksonThomas CovertBrendan DaleyAnna Piil DammMorris DavisAnthony DeFuscoManasi DeshpandeWouter DesseinUlrich DoraszelskiDavid DornChristian DustmannPiotr DworczakDennis EppleSeda ErtacIgnacio EspondaBenjamin FaberJames FeigenbaumDean FosterThierry FoucaultAnthony FowlerAlexander FrankelEric FrenchWilla FriedmanAlfred GalichonJorge GarciaJoshua GottliebGautam GowrisankaranPaul GriecoPauline GrosjeanShoshana GrossbardLuca GuerrieriYingni GuoGeoffrey HealDavidson HeathMark HoekstraThomas HolmesRichard HornbeckJean-Francois HoudePeter HullMatthew JacksonPhilippe JehielBenjamin JonesBoyan JovanovicEthan KaplanAdam KaporLoukas KarabarbounisHiroyuki KasaharaMaximilian KasySupreet KaurTim KautzTodd KeisterRyan KelloggWilliam KerrBrendan KlinePatrick KlineRalph KoijenRobert KollmannMatthew KotchenAlan KrauseMichael KremerKory KroftTheresa KuchlerThibaut LamadonTim LandvoigtFabian LangeSoren Leth-PetersenEdwin LeuvenDavid LevineArik LevinsonDanielle LiNuno LimaoJesper LindeIlse LindenlaubMatti LiskiLance LochnerMichael LovenheimCorinne LowHanno LustigNeale MahoneyMihai ManeaElena ManresaIan MartinFilip MatejkaLaurent MathevetNiko MatouschekDavid MatsaFabrizio MattesiniMaurizio MazzoccoJuanjuan MengAlbert MenkveldKarel MertensJorgen ModalsliCyril MonnetSara MoreiraMelanie MortenPetra MoserAndreas MoxnesAndreas MuellerMakoto NakajimaRamana NandaIshan NathDavid NeumarkEzra OberfieldMarcelo OlarreagaPaulina OlivaEmily OwensMichaela PagelAlbert ParkMarkus PelgerPaolo PinottiBenjamin PugsleyNancy QianJohn QuahValerie RameyNatalia RamondoJoao RamosDevesh RavalCollin RaymondJames RobinsonAnne-Katrin RoeslerWilliam RogersonMark RosenzweigEsteban Rossi-HansbergMaya Rossin-SlaterLeena RudankoKim RuhlJohn RustAldo RustichiniMaryam SaeediJozsef SakovicsTobias SalzBhaven SampatAlvaro SandroniSimon ScheideggerMartin SchmalzMartin SchneiderRicardo Serrano-PadialJoseph ShapiroDavid SilverCarolyn SloaneErik SnowbergIsaac SorkinAmir SufiChristopher TonettiMaxim TroshkinAleh TsyvinskiJose TudonBertil TungoddenMartin UribeJohannes Van BiesebroeckStijn Van NieuwerburghVikrant VigMark VotrubaNaoki WakamoriReed WalkerMatthew WeinzierlYoram WeissArlene WongDaniel Yi XuChen XueKaren YeYves ZenouOwen ZidarUlf ZoelitzEric Zwick Previous articleNext article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 6December 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/701647 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Next article FreeRecent RefereesPDFPDF PLUSFull Text Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJournal of Political Economy acknowledges the assistance of:Ran AbramitzkyDaron AcemogluRodrigo AdaoNaoki AizawaAlberto AlesinaMichelle AlexopoulosDouglas AlmondSimon AndersonAshish AroraEnghin AtalayAndrew AtkesonDavid Austen-SmithEduardo AzevedoMartha BaileySarah BairdNathaniel Baum-SnowPatrick BayerDaniel BenjaminSaurabh BhargavaSourav BhattacharyaDan BlackArthur BlouinAaron Bodoh-CreedAlessandro BonattiLeah BoustanNina BoyarchenkoEric BudishMarshall BurkeLorenzo CasaburiPierre-Andre ChiapporiDavin ChorGiancarlo CorsettiBruno CreponJanet CurrieFrancesco DecarolisMelissa DellJan De LoeckerDavid DemingJonathan DingelTaryn DinkelmanJeremiah DittmarWill DobbieDave DonaldsonUlrich DoraszelskiBenjamin EdelmanTim EisertMatt ElliottWedad ElmaghrabyYing FanErica FieldFrederico FinanAmy FinkelsteinRaymond FismanTeresa FortThomas FujiwaraPatrick GagliardiniAlberto GalassoJonah GelbachBenjamin GillenDavid GreenRaymond GuiterasNaijia GuoYingni GuoAdam GurenFatih GuvenenMarina HalacYoram HalevyRobert HallJessie HandburyRick HarbaughNikolaj HarmonGlenn HarrisonPaul HeidhuesNathaniel HendrenRichard HoldenThomas HolmesCornelia HolthausenRichard HornbeckJean-Francois HoudePatrick HummelGregor JaroschNavin KartikKei KawaiWilliam KerrOnur KestenJonathan KetchamKyungmin KimPatrick KlineRalph KoijenGeorgia KosmopoulouChris KuzawaNicola LaceteraMathias LePatrick LegrosJacob LeshnoIlse LindenlaubElliot LipnowskiGeorge LoewensteinAlexander MackayNeale MahoneyDavid Marques-IbanezAlexandre MasBhashkar MazumderMaurizio MazzoccoIgnacia MercadalStelios MichalopoulosDouglas MillerRobert MoffittEduardo MoralesStephen MorrisIsmael MourifieKathleen MullenBarry NalebuffPaulo NatenzonJ. NearyYusuf NeggersMatthew NeidellPhilip OreopoulosHarry PaarschDaniel ParavisiniParag PathakAndrew PattonGert PeersmanDiego PerezRicardo Perez-TrugliaNicola PersicoEric PlugMaria PolyakovaDevin PopeDaniel QuintNatalia RamondoGautam RaoMar ReguantDavid ReileySteven RivkinJames RobinsonAnne-Katrin RoeslerEsteban Rossi-HansbergAldo RustichiniSally SadoffRaffaella SadunMaher SaidBernard SalaniePhilipp Schmidt-DenglerBradley SetzlerJ. George ShanthikumarAllison ShertzerKelly ShueRalph SiebertSebastian SoteloGonca SoysalGiancarlo SpagnoloJörg SpenkuchFrancesco SquintaniKonrad StahlBryce SteinbergMelvin StephensAdam StoreygardJoerg StoyeBruno StruloviciRichard SweeneyCaroline ThomasMelissa ThomassonFrancesco TrebbiFrederic VermeulenJonathan VogelNico VoigtlaenderJoel WaldfogelChristopher WaltersMarianne WanamakerEbonya WashingtonBirger WernerfeltAlexander WhiteFrank WindmeijerRonald WolthoffJulian WrightDaniel Yi XuDanny YaganNoam YuchtmanJunsen ZhangEkaterina ZhuravskayaJonathan Zinman Next article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 1February 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/697266 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Previous articleNext article FreeRecent RefereesPDFPDF PLUSFull Text Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJournal of Political Economy acknowledges the assistance of:Rolf AabergeJason AbaluckEliot AbramsDouglas AlmondIsaiah AndrewsCharles AngelucciPeter ArcidiaconoGaurab AryalKentaro AsaiDavid AutorRuediger BachmannAlexander BartikMarco BattagliniSamuel BazziDaniel BenjaminMartin BerajaDavid BergerJohn BeshearsPrashant BharadwajAlberto BisinSimon BoardCatherine BobtcheffAlessandro BonattiStephane BonhommeLoren BrandtR. BraunJeremy BulowSteven CallanderDavid CesariniEric ChaneySteve CicalaAntonio CicconeJeffrey ClemensJohn CochraneAllan Collard-WexlerMarco CosconatiErnesto Dal BoRebecca DiamondTaryn DinkelmanSimeon DjankovCarlos DobkinDavid DranoveOeindrila DubePascaline DupasRuben DuranteAlex EblePhilipp EisenhauerFabian EserItay FainmesserTimothy FeddersenShuaizhang FengAmy FinkelsteinRaymond FismanChristopher FooteMarco FrancesconiChao FuWilliam FuchsXavier GabaixManolis GalenianosAndrea GaleottiSebastian GalianiAlfred GalichonJorge Garcia-MenendezPieter GautierEdward GlaeserBenjamin GolubYuriy GorodnichenkoDaniel GottliebFrancois GourioMarina HalacWilliam HanlonGlenn HarrisonBard HarstadTarek HassanBenjamin HebertAndrew HoRichard HornbeckThomas HubbardJohn Eric HumphriesBrian JacobSeema JayachandranPhilippe JehielAmir JinaMichael JohannesDamon JonesLeo KaasLouis KaplowLoukas KarabarbounisAnil KashyapRyan KelloggLutz KilianHenrik KlevenPatrick KlineBrian KnightFuhito KojimaWojciech KopczukAmanda KowalskiMichael KrauseDiana KrugerEliana La FerraraDavid LagakosKevin LangMartin LettauRoss LevineArthur LewbelGregory LewisQi LiShengwu LiElliot LipnowskiAlessandro LizzeriXiang MaBrigitte MadrianDaniel MartinYusufcan MasatliogluFilip MatejkaMichael MazzeoDavid McKenzieRobert McMillanXin MengIgnacia MercadalOmer MoavMelanie MortenPetra MoserAndreas MoxnesRoger MyersonRamana NandaEric NielsenMatthew NotowidigdoNathan NunnPietro OrtolevaGerard Padro i MiquelThomas PalfreyStavros PanageasElias PapaioannouLoriana PelizzonKrishna PendakurGiovanni PeriNicola PersicoPetra PerssonWolfgang PesendorferMaria PetrovaIvan PngDevin PopeAndrea PratVincenzo QuadriniRodney RamcharanJoao RamosHillel RapoportAlex Rees-JonesJean-Marc RobinJames RobinsonChristian RoesslerJesse RothsteinNicholas RyanStephen RyanBruce SacerdoteYuval SalantNorbert SchadyWolfram SchlenkerLukas SchmidAntoinette SchoarDaniel SchunkKarl SchurterJoshua SchwartzsteinBradley SetzlerBradley ShapiroJoseph ShapiroMatthew ShumBernardo SilveiraCharles SprengerSascha SteffenJakub SteinerJon SteinssonJohannes StroebelChristopher TaberSatoru TakahashiEvan TaylorAlexander TeytelboymPhilipp TillmannPetra ToddFrancesco TrebbiUgo TroianoMarta Troya MartinezViktor TsyrennikovUtku UnverWinnie van DijkJohn Van ReenenVenky VenkateswaranMiguel Villas-BoasAnnette Vissing-JorgensenAlessandra VoenaJoel WaldfogelReed WalkerAndrea WeberRebecca Weitz-ShapiroBirger WernerfeltMatthew WiswallAlexander WolitzkyNoam YuchtmanGabriel ZucmanEric Zwick Previous articleNext article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 2April 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/698129 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Previous articleNext article FreeRecent RefereesPDFPDF PLUSFull Text Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJournal of Political Economy acknowledges the assistance of:Brant AbbottRan AbramitzkyRodrigo AdaoNikhil AgarwalTreb AllenDouglas AlmondIsaiah AndrewsPeter ArcidiaconoEnghin AtalayAdrien AuclertNed AugenblickEduardo AzevedoLinda BabcockMarco BattagliniVivek BhattacharyaSourav BhattacharyaAlberto BisinDan BlackHenning BohnLaurent BoutonBen BrooksMarshall BurkeLeonardo BursztynSteven CallanderNicolas Castro CienfuegosDavid CesariniPierre-Andre ChiapporiEugene ChooGregory ClarkJohn CochraneDean CorbaeThomas CovertJacques CraemerErnesto Dal BoBrendan DaleyLucas DavisDamien De WalqueMark DeanManasi DeshpandeDouglas DiamondRebecca DiamondMichael DinersteinJonathan DingelJeremiah DittmarWill DobbieDave DonaldsonUlrich DoraszelskiPierre DuboisGeorgy EgorovAlon EizenbergBenjamin EnkeDennis EppleChristine ExleyPablo FajgelbaumArmin FalkRobert FeenstraAmy FinkelsteinRaymond FismanMarco FrancesconiBrigham FrandsenEric FrenchChao FuDrew FudenbergThomas FujiwaraManolis GalenianosCecile GaubertAndrew Goodman-BaconDavid GreenMatthew GrennanAdam GurenRong HaiJessie HandburyEric HanushekBard HarstadTarek HassanNathaniel HendrenRichard HoldenElisabeth HonkaMatteo IacovielloMurat IyigunKelsey JackSaumitra JhaCharles JonesDamon JonesJohn KennanPhilipp KircherNobuhiro KiyotakiPatrick KlineNarayana KocherlakotaRachel KrantonIlan KremerVijay KrishnaZoe KuehnEliana La FerraraNicola LaceteraDavid LagakosRicardo LagosRasmus LandersoeVictor LavyRobin LeeTracy LewisHaizhen LinMatthew LindquistBarton LipmanCorinne LowFernando LucoLilia MaliarDavid MalisonGustavo MansoErin MansurGiovanni MastrobuoniBhashkar MazumderMaurizio MazzoccoDavid McKenzieBruce MeyerVirgiliu MidriganEdward MiguelAhmed MobarakJoao MontezMelanie MortenCharles MurryCaitlin MyersDerek NealDavid NeumarkVolker NockeMasao OgakiPaulina OlivaPaul OyerBerk OzlerYoungmin ParkMario PascoaEduardo Perez-RichetRicardo Perez-TrugliaWolfgang PesendorferJose-Luis PeydroMassimiliano PisaniTomasz PiskorskiDevin PopeDrazen PrelecDavid RahmanSharon RameySteven RaphaelMartin RavallionAlex Rees-JonesM. RehaviPhilip RenyJose Rios-RullJames RobertsAriel RubinsteinThomas RuchtiMarc RysmanLawrence SchmidtMehdi ShadmehrJacob ShapiroRon SiegelEric SimsHoward SmithPaulo SomainiDavid StrombergChris SwannYuya TakahashiDmitry TaubinskyFelix TintelnotPetra ToddAlexander TorgovitskyRobert TownsendJuuso ValimakiStijn Van NieuwerburghJoseph VavraGreg VeramendiLise VesterlundAnnette Vissing-JorgensenAlessandra VoenaNico VoigtlaenderJessica WachterChristopher WaltersRoberto WeberBirger WernerfeltAsher WolinskyAlexander WolitzkyPierre YaredNese YildizAli YurukogluBasit ZafarJidong ZhouOwen ZidarSarah ZubairyGabriel Zucman Previous articleNext article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 5October 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/700865 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

Previous articleNext article FreeRecent RefereesPDFPDF PLUSFull Text Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinked InRedditEmailQR Code SectionsMoreJournal of Political Economy acknowledges the assistance of:Johannes AbelerManuel AdelinoNikhil AgarwalAnna AizerDavid AlbouyHunt AllcottNizar AllouchDouglas AlmondMarcella AlsanJoshua AngristGabriela AntoniePeter ArcidiaconoCostas ArkolakisDavid AtkinYu AwayaEduardo AzevedoSimcha BarkaiEmek BaskerChristiane BaumeisterSascha BeckerJuliane BegenauSamuel BentolilaArthur BlouinAaron Bodoh-CreedStephane BonhommeSamuel BowlesEric BudishFiona BurligMichael CallenDennis CarltonMarco CastilloBriana ChangJudith ChevalierEric ChynJeffrey ClemensAllan Collard-WexlerPedro Dal BoSanmay DasThomas DavidoffGeoffroy de ClippelDavid de la CroixDaniela Del BocaMelissa DellDavid DemingWouter DesseinSebastian Di TellaEleanor DillonJonathan DingelHyun Soo DohDave DonaldsonThorsten DrautzburgPierre DuboisGreg DuncanUmut DurGilles DurantonPiotr DworczakZvi EcksteinLena EdlundMartin EichenbaumPhilipp EisenhauerMehmet EkmekciErik EysterRobert FeenstraFrederico FinanJonas FisherRaymond FismanChristopher FlinnAnthony FowlerMarco FrancesconiAlexander FrankelDaniel FriedmanJohn FriedmanDrew FudenbergDon FullertonEtienne GagnonJorge GarcíaJodi GardnerCecile GaubertAlessandro GavazzaTed GayerAlexander GelberHeiko GerlachDavid GillUri GneezyClaudia GoldinGary GortonPiero GottardiGene GrossmanRong HaiRobert HallChristian HansenJoseph HarringtonGlenn HarrisonPaul HealyRichard HoldenRichard HornbeckCosmin IlutJun IshiiKelsey JackRobert JensenJanna JohnsonJustin JohnsonBoyan JovanovicLoukas KarabarbounisDean KarlanKyeongbae KimPeter KlenowHenrik KlevenRalph KoijenJonathan KolstadScott KominersRachel KrantonIlan KremerMichael KremerTim LandvoigtClare LeaverSangMok LeeJacob LeshnoSteven LevittJin LiShengwu LiBarton LipmanFrancesco LippiJeremy LiseQingmin LiuKatrine LokenShelly LundbergRamon MarimonLaurent MathevetGregor MatvosJames McAndrewsBernard McSherryMarc MelitzKonstantinos MetaxoglouRichhild MoessnerFerdinando MonteStephen MorrisJack MountjoyPaulo NatenzonCharles NathansonPaul NiehausEd NosalCormac O GradaPaulina OlivaBenjamin OlkenMallesh PaiStavros PanageasAndreas ParkRonni PavanJudea PearlZhuan PeiRicardo Perez-TrugliaRyan PetersLaura PilossophHerakles PolemarchakisDina PomeranzAndrea PratDiego PugaValerie RameyStephen ReddingFrederic Robert-NicoudDavid RobinsonJonathan RobinsonPablo Robles SantamarinaMark RosenzweigJohn RustBernard SalaniePaola SapienzaTim Schmidt-EisenlohrPeter SchottSam Schulhofer-WohlKatja SeimAmit SeruRon ShacharArtyom ShneyerovAndrzej SkrzypaczErik SnowbergSebastian SoteloJon SteinssonSteven SternTodd StinebricknerJan StuhlerChad SyversonAlireza Tahbaz-SalehiFelix TintelnotPetra ToddAlexander TorgovitskyFabrice TourreFrancesco TrebbiStijn Van NieuwerburghDimitri VayanosRobert VerrecchiaAshley VissingShing-Yi WangDavid WeinsteinScott WeisbennerEric WeylChen YehBasit ZafarYves Zenou Previous articleNext article DetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Volume 126, Number 3June 2018 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/698866 © 2018 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

We analyze how academic experts and nonexperts forecast the results of 15 piece-rate and behavioral treatments in a real-effort task. The average forecast of experts closely predicts the experimental results, with a strong wisdom-of-crowds effect: the average forecast outperforms 96 percent of individual forecasts. Citations, academic rank, field, and contextual experience do not correlate with accuracy. Experts as a group do better than nonexperts, but not if accuracy is defined as rank-ordering treatments. Measures of effort, confidence, and revealed ability are predictive of forecast accuracy to some extent and allow us to identify “superforecasters” among the nonexperts.

We consider collective decisions made by agents whose preferences and power depend on past events and decisions. Faced with an inefficient equilibrium and an opportunity to commit to a policy, can the agents reach an agreement on such a policy? We provide a consistency condition linking power structures in the dynamic setting and at the commitment stage. When the condition holds, commitment has no value: any agreement that may be reached at the outset coincides with the equilibrium without commitment. When the condition fails, as in the case of time-inconsistent preferences, commitment can improve outcomes. We discuss several applications.