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Dynamic Income, Progressive Taxes, and the Timing of Charitable Contributions

Journal of Political Economy 1995 103(4), 709-738
Using an econometric model of charitable giving and a ten-year panel of tax return data, the author finds that previous studies have underestimated the effects of permanent income and overestimated those of permanent changes in tax prices. The significant statutory tax changes that occurred during the 1980s, especially in 1986, serve to identify the key model parameters. The author's results imply that people smooth their giving when transitory income changes but also time their giving to exploit transitory changes in tax prices. The results also raise questions about how effectively the tax incentives permanently influence the level of charitable giving by individuals. Copyright 1995 by University of Chicago Press.

Dynamic Income, Progressive Taxes, and the Timing of Charitable Contributions

Journal of Political Economy 1995 103(4), 709-738
Using an econometric model of charitable giving and a 10-year panel of tax return data, I find that previous studies have underestimated the effects of permanent income and overestimated the effects of permanent changes in tax prices. The significant statutory tax changes that occurred during the 1980s, especially in 1986, serve to identify the key model parameters. My results imply that people smooth their giving when transitory income changes but also time their giving to exploit transitory changes in tax prices. The results also raise questions about how effectively the tax incentives permanently influence the level, rather than just the timing, of charitable giving by individuals.

The Price Elasticity of Hard Drugs: The Case of Opium in the Dutch East Indies, 1923-1938

Journal of Political Economy 1995 103(2), 261-279
At the beginning of this century the Dutch government controlled the opium market in the Dutch East Indies--nowadays Indonesia--for several decades. This state monopoly was called the opiumregie. Using information gathered during the opiumregie, this paper estimates price elasticities of opium consumption. It appears that short-term price elasticities of opium use are about -0.7. Long-term price elasticities are about -1.0.

The Price Elasticity of Hard Drugs: The Case of Opium in the Dutch East Indies, 1923-1938

Journal of Political Economy 1995 103(2), 261-279
At the beginning of this century the Dutch government controlled the opium market in the Dutch East Indies--nowadays Indonesia--for several decades. This state monopoly was called the opiumregie. Using information gathered during the opiumregie, this paper estimates price elasticities of opium consumption. It appears that short-term price elasticities of opium use are about -0.7. Long-term price elasticities are about -1.0.