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Entrepreneurship: Productive, Unproductive, and Destructive

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(5, Part 1), 893-921
The basic hypothesis is that, while the total supply of entrepreneurs varies among societies, the productive contribution of the society's entrepreneurial activities varies much more because of their allocation between productive activities, such as innovation, and largely unproductive activities, such as rent seeking or organized crime. This allocation is heavily influenced by the relative payoffs society offers to such activities. This implies that policy can influence the allocation of entrepreneurship more effectively than it can influence its supply. Historical evidence from ancient Rome, early China, and the Middle Ages and Renaissance in Europe is used to investigate the hypotheses.

Factor Market Search and the Structure of Simple General Equilibrium Models

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(2), 325-355
This paper presents a simple general equilibrium model in which unemployed workers search for jobs and vacant firms search for employees. Formally, I develop a two-sector, constrained efficient version of the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides matching model of trade coordination. This approach to modeling factor market search appears promising since its algebraic development parallels Jones's treatment of the two-sector model of production, and the latter framework underlies most applied general equilibrium analyses. Some illustrative short-run and steady-state results are presented concerning the behavior of open and closed economies that exhibit unemployment and vacancies.

Factor Market Search and the Structure of Simple General Equilibrium Models

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(2), 325-355
This paper presents a simple general equilibrium model in which unemployed workers search for jobs and vacant firms search for employees. Formally, I develop a two-sector, constrained efficient version of the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides matching model of trade coordination. This approach to modeling factor market search appears promising since its algebraic development parallels Jones's treatment of the two-sector model of production, and the latter framework underlies most applied general equilibrium analyses. Some illustrative short-run and steady-state results are presented concerning the behavior of open and closed economies that exhibit unemployment and vacancies.

Entrepreneurship: Productive, Unproductive, and Destructive

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(5), 893-921
The basic hypothesis is that, while the total supply of entrepreneurs varies among societies, the productive contribution of the society's entrepreneurial activities varies much more because of their allocation between productive activities such as innovation and largely unproductive activities such as rent seeking or organized crime. This allocation is heavily influenced by the relative payoffs society offers to such activities. This implies that policy can influence the allocation of entrepreneurship more effectively than it can influence its supply. Historical evidence from ancient Rome, early China, and the Middle Ages and Renaissance in Europe is used to investigate the hypotheses.

Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogeneous Growth

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(5), S103-S125
One strand of endogenous-growth models assumes constant returns to a broad concept of capital. I extend these models to include tax-financed government services that affect production or utility. Growth and saving rates fall with an increase in utility-type expenditures; the two rates rise initially with productive government expenditures but subsequently decline. With an income tax, the decentralized choices of growth and saving are "too low," but if the production function is Cobb-Douglas, the optimizing government still satisfies a natural condition for productive efficiency. Empirical evidence across countries supports some of the hypotheses about government and growth.

Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(4), 703-738 open access
The authors present a simple overlapping generations model of an asset market in which irrational noise traders with erroneous stochastic beliefs both affect prices and earn higher expected returns. The unpredictability of noise traders' beliefs creates a risk in the price of the asset that deters rational arbitrageurs from aggressively betting against them. As a result, prices can diverge significantly from fundamental values even in the absence of fundamental risk. Moreover, bearing a disproportionate amount of risk that they themselves create enables noise traders to earn a higher expected return than rational investors do. The model sheds light on a number of financial anomalies.

Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(4), 703-738
We present a simple overlapping generations model of an asset market in which irrational noise traders with erroneous stochastic beliefs both affect prices and earn higher expected returns. The unpredictability of noise traders' beliefs creates a risk in the price of the asset that deters rational arbitrageurs from aggressively betting against them. As a result, prices can diverge significantly from fundamental values even in the absence of fundamental risk. Moreover, bearing a disproportionate amount of risk that they themselves create enables noise traders to earn a higher expected return than rational investors do. The model sheds light on a number of financial anomalies, including the excess volatility of asset prices, the mean reversion of stock returns, the underpricing of closed-end mutual funds, and the Mehra-Prescott equity premium puzzle.

Social Cost of Environmental Quality Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(4), 853-873
The use of cost-benefit analysis by federal regulatory agencies has expanded greatly in scope and sophistication. Unfortunately, agencies continue to employ private cost rather than social cost to evaluate environmental quality regulations. Furthermore, general equilibrium impacts and intertemporal effects of regulations are typically not included in the evaluation. In this paper we estimate the social cost of environmental quality regulations mandated by the Clean Air and Clean Water acts. We construct an econometric general equilibrium model of the United States to demonstrate that social cost estimates diverge sharply from private cost estimates. We also demonstrate that general equilibrium impacts are significant and pervasive and that intertemporal effects of the regulations, heretofore ignored, are significant.

Unobservables, Pregnancy Resolutions, and Birth Weight Production Functions in New York City

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(5), 983-1007
This paper makes contributions to the estimation of health production functions and the economics of fertility control. We present the first infant health production functions that simultaneously control for self-selection in the resolution of pregnancies as live births or induced abortions and in the use of prenatal medical care services. We also incorporate the decision of a pregnant woman to give birth.

Social Cost of Environmental Quality Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Journal of Political Economy 1990 98(4), 853-873
The use of cost-benefit analysis by federal regulatory agencies has expanded greatly in scope and sophistication. Unfortunately, agencies continue to employ private cost rather than social cost to evaluate environmental quality regulations. Furthermore, general equilibrium impacts and intertemporal effects of regulations are typically not included in the evaluation. In this paper we estimate the social cost of environmental quality regulations mandated by the Clean Air and Clean Water acts. We construct an econometric general equilibrium model of the United States to demonstrate that social cost estimates diverge sharply from private cost estimates. We also demonstrate that general equilibrium impacts are significant and pervasive and that intertemporal effects of the regulations, heretofore ignored, are significant.