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The Gravity Equation in International Trade: A Response

Journal of Political Economy 2022 130(5), 1419-1425
This short note addresses the concerns raised by Dewitte (2022) on the empirical exercise in Chaney (2018). I gratefully acknowledge that all coding inconsistencies noted by Dewitte (2022) are to be corrected, and I show that after correcting those inconsistencies, the statistical tests in Chaney (2018) are weaker but remain statistically significant.

The Gravity Equation in International Trade: An Explanation

Journal of Political Economy 2018 126(1), 150-177 open access
The gravity equation in international trade states that bilateral exports are proportional to economic size and inversely proportional to geographic distance. While the role of size is well understood, that of distance remains mysterious. I offer an explanation for the role of distance: If (i) the distribution of firm sizes is Pareto, (ii) the average squared distance of a firm’s exports is an increasing power function of its size, and (iii) a parameter restriction holds, then the distance elasticity of trade is constant for long distances. When the firm size distribution follows Zipf’s law, trade is inversely proportional to distance.