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Partial Completion as a Nonprofit Strategy

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: Faced with the challenge of serving beneficiaries with heterogeneous needs and under budget constraints, some nonprofit organizations (NPOs) have adopted an innovative solution: providing partially complete products or services to beneficiaries. We seek to understand what drives an NPO’s choice of partial completion as a design strategy and how it interacts with the level of variety offered in the NPO’s product or service portfolio. Academic/practical relevance: Although partial product or service provision has been observed in the nonprofit operations, there is limited understanding of when it is an appropriate strategy—a void that we seek to fill in this paper. Methodology: We synthesize the practices of two NPOs operating in different contexts to develop a stylized analytical model to study an NPO’s product/service completion and variety choices. Results: We identify when and to what extent partial completion is optimal for an NPO. We also characterize a budget allocation structure for an NPO between product/service variety and completion. Our analysis sheds light on how beneficiary characteristics (e.g., heterogeneity of their needs, capability to self-complete) and NPO objectives (e.g., total-benefit maximization versus fairness) affect the optimal levels of variety and completion. Managerial implications: We provide three key observations. (1) Partial completion is not a compromise solution to budget limitations but can be an optimal strategy for NPOs under a wide range of circumstances, even in the presence of ample resources. (2) Partial provision is particularly valuable when beneficiary needs are highly heterogeneous, or beneficiaries have high self-completion capabilities. A higher self-completion capability generally implies a lower optimal completion level; however, it may lead to either a higher or a lower optimal variety level. (3) Although providing incomplete products may appear to burden beneficiaries, a lower completion level can be optimal when fairness is factored into an NPO’s objective or when beneficiary capabilities are more heterogeneous. History: This paper has been accepted for the Manufacturing & Service Operations Management Special Section on Responsible Research in Operations Management.

Queues with Redundancy: Is Waiting in Multiple Lines Fair?

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: We study service systems where some (so-called “redundant”) customers join multiple queues simultaneously, enabling them to receive service in any one of the queues, while other customers join a single queue. Academic/practical relevance: The improvement in overall system performance due to redundant customers has been established in prior work. We address the question of fairness—whether the benefit experienced by redundant customers adversely affects others who can only join a single line. This question is particularly relevant to organ transplantation, as critics have contended that multiple listing provides unfair access to organs for patients based on wealth. Methodology: We analyze two queues serving two classes of customers; the redundant class joins both queues, whereas the nonredundant class joins a single queue randomly. We compare this system against a benchmark wherein the redundant class resorts to joining the shortest queue (JSQ) if multiple queue joining were not allowed, capturing the most likely case if multilisting was prohibited: Affluent patients could still afford to list in the region with the shorter wait list. Results: We prove that when the arrival rate of nonredundant customers is balanced across both queues, they actually benefit under redundancy of the other class—that is, redundancy is fair. We also establish that redundancy may be unfair under some circumstances: Nonredundant customers are worse off if their arrival rate is strongly skewed toward one of the queues. We illustrate how these findings apply in the organ-transplantation setting through a numerical study using publicly available data. Managerial implications: Our analysis helps identify when, and by how much, multiple listing may be unfair and, as such, could be a useful tool for policy makers who may be concerned with trying to ensure equitable access to resources, such as organs, across patients with differing wealth levels.

Optimal Intervention Policies for Total Joint Replacement Postoperative Care Process

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: Successful outcomes of total joint replacement (TJR) depend not only on the surgery but also on the patients’ postsurgical behaviors; inadequate postsurgical performance can lead to complications and/or readmissions. To prevent such events, patients go through postoperative intervention processes in which they receive physical therapy and/or some form of rehabilitative services. Although the costs of providing such interventions and readmission penalties are substantial, no methods exist that enable healthcare professionals to determine the optimal timing and target group of the interventions. Academic/practical relevance: To address these gaps, this paper investigates the decision problem faced by healthcare professionals: When should we provide interventions to which group of patients to minimize the total expense? We formulate the postdischarge intervention process as a finite-horizon discrete-time Markov decision process. Methodology: We dynamically model the post-TJR intervention process by (1) directly incorporating the readmission risk and penalty, and (2) considering the varying effectiveness of interventions depending on where the patient is located (care facility type). Results: Through a case study at a community hospital, the applicability of the model is illustrated and a number of structural properties, including the existence of a control-limit type policy, are proved. Based on the data obtained from the collaborating hospital, the optimal policy suggests to start intervening skilled nursing facility (SNF) patients after the postacute recovery period. Managerial implications: The optimal policy of the model shows that the common practice of focusing intervention resources on immediate postoperative periods needs further justification, and more attention should be focused on the presurgical or surgical phase to devise interventions that are more tailored toward preventing early readmission causes.

When to Lock the Volatile Input Price? Procurement of Commodity Components Under Different Pricing Schemes

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: We study a two-stage supply chain, where the supplier procures a key component to manufacture a product and the buyer orders from the supplier to meet a price-sensitive demand. As the input price is volatile, the two parties enter into either a standard contract, where the buyer orders just before the supplier starts production, or a time-flexible contract, where the buyer can lock a wholesale price in advance. Moreover, we consider three selling-price schemes: Market Driven, Cost Plus, and Profit Max. Academic/practical relevance: This problem is motivated by real practices in the cloud industry. Our model and optimization approach can address similar problems in other industries as well. Methodology: We assume that the input price follows a geometric Brownian motion. To determine the optimal ordering time, we propose an optimization approach that is different from the classic approach by Dixit et al. ( 1994 ) and Li and Kouvelis ( 1999 ). Our approach leads to deeper analytical results and more transparent ordering policy. Through a numerical experimentation, we compare profitability of different parties under different contracts, pricing schemes, and market conditions. Results: The buyer’s ordering policy is determined by a threshold policy based on the current time and input price; the optimal threshold depends on not only the drift and volatility of the input price but also, their relative magnitude. The supplier’s optimal procurement time should be determined by analyzing a trade-off between the holding cost of storing the components and the future input-price movement. Managerial implications: Under the Profit-Max and the Cost-Plus pricing schemes, the time-flexible contract is a Pareto improvement compared with the standard contract, whereas under the Market-Driven pricing scheme, the supplier may be better off under the standard contract. Moreover, although the most favorable scenario for the buyer is under the Profit-Max pricing scheme, the most favorable scenario for the supplier oftentimes is under the Cost-Plus pricing scheme. Furthermore, this study provides valuable insights into impacts of various characteristics of the component market, such as the trend and volatility of the input price, on the expected profit of the supply chain and its split between the two parties.

Divide and Conquer: A Hygienic, Efficient, and Reliable Assembly Line for Housekeeping

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: This work focuses on the hotel housekeeping process. In a field study, a possible channel of disease transmission between consecutive guests in hotel rooms is revealed. In order to prevent the transmission, an innovative assembly-line housekeeping method is developed. Academic/practical relevance: The transmission of infectious diseases during hotel stays (e.g., by touching unclean towels or bed linens) has been reported globally. Under the current COVID-19 pandemic, having contact with saliva or mucus left by an infected person could cause infection. The standard housekeeping process used by the majority of hotels leaves a channel for new towels and bed linens in refreshed rooms to be contaminated by bacteria or viruses from used towels and bed linens. Eliminating the contamination channel and preventing disease transmission are crucial for protecting the health and safety of hotel guests, especially under a disease outbreak such as the current COVID-19 pandemic. Methodology: The research was conducted during a field study at a hotel. To design the assembly-line process, the service time distribution of each housekeeping operational step is characterized using data collected from the practice at hundreds of hotel rooms. An optimization model is proposed to optimize the operation. Through a pilot test, the performance of the assembly-line and the traditional housekeeping methods is compared. Results: The pilot test results show that the assembly-line housekeeping method has the potential to improve not only hygienic standards but also, labor efficiency and service quality (error rate). Managerial implications: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic draws tremendous public attention on disease transmission and public hygiene. The principle of the assembly-line method (i.e., eliminating contamination channels through teamwork operational design) can be applied to not only hotel housekeeping practices but also, many other service settings. It leads to hygienic, efficient, and reliable operations, at no additional cost.

Dynamic Type Matching

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021 open access
Problem definition: We consider an intermediary’s problem of dynamically matching demand and supply of heterogeneous types in a periodic-review fashion. Specifically, there are two disjoint sets of demand and supply types, and a reward for each possible matching of a demand type and a supply type. In each period, demand and supply of various types arrive in random quantities. The platform decides on the optimal matching policy to maximize the expected total discounted rewards, given that unmatched demand and supply may incur waiting or holding costs, and will be fully or partially carried over to the next period. Academic/practical relevance: The problem is crucial to many intermediaries who manage matchings centrally in a sharing economy. Methodology: We formulate the problem as a dynamic program. We explore the structural properties of the optimal policy and propose heuristic policies. Results: We provide sufficient conditions on matching rewards such that the optimal matching policy follows a priority hierarchy among possible matching pairs. We show that those conditions are satisfied by vertically and unidirectionally horizontally differentiated types, for which quality and distance determine priority, respectively. Managerial implications: The priority property simplifies the matching decision within a period, and the trade-off reduces to a choice between matching in the current period and that in the future. Then the optimal matching policy has a match-down-to structure when considering a specific pair of demand and supply types in the priority hierarchy.

What Is the Impact of Nonrandomness on Random Choice Models?

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: This paper examines the impact of nonrandomness on random choice models and studies various operations problems under the new discrete choice models. Academic/practical relevance: The literature often assumes that the random utility components follow some independent and identically distributed distribution. This assumption is too restrictive in some real-world scenarios, because, for example, consumers may have known well about the attribute values for the product that they have repeatedly purchased. Methodology: We adopt the random utility maximization framework and characterize the choice probabilities when the utility of some alternative is deterministic. The log-likelihood function is jointly concave in the attribute coefficients under the linear utility-attribute assumption; an expectation-maximization algorithm is developed to overcome the missing data issue in estimation. Results: Surprisingly, if the utility of a particular product is deterministic, the assortment problem is still polynomial-time solvable, whereas if the utility of the no-purchase option is deterministic, the decision problem corresponding to the assortment optimization is NP-complete. We show that the price minus the reciprocal of price sensitivity is product invariant at optimality, which helps to simplify the multiproduct pricing problems. Managerial implications: Empirical study on real data shows that incorporating nonrandomness into random choice models can increase model fitting and prediction accuracy. Failure of accounting for the impact of nonrandomness may result in substantial losses.

Coordination of Multiechelon Supply Chains Using the Guaranteed Service Framework

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: We use the guaranteed service (GS) framework to investigate how to coordinate a multiechelon supply chain when two self-interested parties control different parts of the supply chain. For purposes of supply chain planning, we assume that each stage in a supply chain operates with a local base-stock policy and can provide guaranteed service to its customers, as long as the customer demand falls within certain bounds. Academic/practical relevance: The GS framework for supply chain inventory optimization has been deployed successfully in multiple industrial contexts with centralized control. In this paper, we show how to apply this framework to achieve coordination in a decentralized setting in which two parties control different parts of the supply chain. Methodology: The primary methodology is the analysis of a multiechelon supply chain under the assumptions of the GS model. Results: We find that the GS framework is naturally well suited for this decentralized decision making, and we propose a specific contract structure that facilitates such relationships. This contract is incentive compatible and has several other desirable properties. Under assumptions of complete and incomplete information, a reasonable negotiation process should lead the parties to contract terms that coordinate the supply chain. The contract is simpler than contracts proposed for coordination in the stochastic service (SS) framework. We also highlight the role of markup on the holding costs and some of the difficulties that this might cause in coordinating a decentralized supply chain. Managerial implications: The value from the paper is to show that a simple contract coordinates the chain when both parties plan with a GS model and framework; hence, we provide more evidence for the utility of this model. Furthermore, the simple coordinating contract matches reasonably well with practice; we observe that the most common contract terms include a per-unit wholesale price (possibly with a minimum order quantity and/or quantity discounts), along with a service time from order placement until delivery or until ready to ship. We also observe that firms need to pay a higher price if they want better service. What may differ from practice is the contract provision of a demand bound; our contract specifies that the supplier will provide GS as long as the buyer’s order are within the agreed on demand bound. This provision is essential so that each party can apply the GS framework for planning their supply chain. Of course, contracts have many other provisions for handling exceptions. Nevertheless, our research provides some validation for the GS model and the contracting practices we observe in practice.

Data Set: 187 Weeks of Customer Forecasts and Orders for Microprocessors from Intel Corporation

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021
Problem definition: This data set contains 187 consecutive weeks of Intel microprocessor demand information for all five distribution centers in one of its five sales geographies. For every stock keeping unit (SKU) at every location, the weekly forecasted demand and actual customer orders are provided as well as the SKU’s average selling price category. These data are provided by week and by distribution center, producing 26,114 records in total. Academic/practical relevance: The 86 SKUs in the data set span five product generations. It provides years of product evolution across generations and price points. Methodology: As a data set paper, its purpose is to provide interesting and rich real-world data for researchers developing forecasting, inventory, pricing, and product assortment models. Results: The data set demonstrates the presence of significant forecast bias, heterogeneity of forecast errors between distribution centers, generational differences, product life cycles, and pricing dynamics. Managerial implications: This data set provides access to a rich pricing and sales setting from a major corporation that has not been made available before.

Sourcing from a Self-Reporting Supplier: Strategic Communication of Social Responsibility in a Supply Chain

Manufacturing and Service Operations Management 2021 open access
Problem definition: To manage supplier social responsibility (SR), some firms have adopted a self-assessment strategy whereby they ask suppliers to self-report SR capabilities. Self-reported information is difficult to verify, and this leads to an important credibility question: can a buyer expect truthful reporting? We examine whether a supplier’s SR capability can be credibly communicated through free and unverifiable self-reporting. Academic/practical relevance: SR is a strategic focus for firms because consumers care about ethical production. Some firms rely on supplier self-assessment as part of their SR strategy. It is important to understand the value and challenges of this approach. Methodology: We develop a cheap talk model of a supplier and a buyer. The supplier is endowed with a given SR level (privately known to the supplier) that represents the probability of no violation. The buyer sells in a market that is sensitive to publicized SR violations. The supplier first communicates its SR level to the buyer, and then the buyer chooses between two audit stringency levels to conduct on the supplier and also chooses how much to order. Results: Influential truthful communication may emerge in equilibrium if (i) the buyer orders a larger quantity from the high-type supplier but imposes a more stringent audit than the buyer would for the low type and (ii) the high-type supplier opts for this larger order, whereas the low-type, fearing audit failure, does not. The buyer can benefit as the audit becomes more expensive. Managerial implications: Supplier SR self-assessments can be a valuable strategy for buyers but only if the buyer has access to auditing capabilities of different levels and does not precommit to a particular level. It is valuable for firms to engage in an up-front auditing step to ensure a minimum SR capability of approved suppliers because very low-performing suppliers never truthfully report. Implementing supplier self-assessments may or may not help reduce the social damage resulting from potential SR violations; we identify situations when it helps and when it does not.