Knowledge that Transforms

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The saliency of the CEO pay ratio

Review of Finance 2024 28(3), 1059-1104 open access
The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s mandated CEO pay ratio is a simple, but salient, metric that could resonate with employees given it focuses on their compensation. Reporting a relatively or surprisingly high ratio reduces employee perceptions of their pay, views of the CEO, and hampers productivity growth. Employee pay satisfaction drops after disclosing a high ratio even if their wages were previously disclosed and when the pay ratio disclosure adds little new information. Disclosures by firms with a high ratio contain more discretionary language to explain the ratio or portray employee relations positively and are more likely to be covered by the media. However, neither information source substantially alters the employee response to a salient ratio. Our work illustrates that requiring firms to disclose a salient metric can have unintended consequences on employees and suggests caution in requiring firms to report simplified Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics that are inherently multifaceted.

Optimal investment and equilibrium pricing under ambiguity

Review of Finance 2024 28(6), 1759-1805
We study a model for portfolio selection under uncertainty along with market equilibria that are associated with the optimal positions. Allowing for both ambiguity-seeking and ambiguity-averse market participants, model-implied demand functions resemble observed bid–ask spreads, and are consistent with extant limited-participation results based on more specialized ambiguity settings. A Pareto-efficient second-best equilibrium arises from constraining the portfolio allocations of ambiguity seekers. It implies that heterogeneity in ambiguity preferences is sufficient for mutually beneficial transactions even among all else homogeneous traders. Our results reconcile many observed phenomena in liquid high-information financial markets, such as portfolio inertia and negative risk premia.

Local IPOs and household stock market participation

Review of Finance 2024 28(6), 1919-1952
The decrease in companies going public has received widespread attention, and the associated costs are widely debated. We document that high local initial public offering (IPO) activity leads to increases in stock market participation of 5–6 percent. This is striking, given that such participation represents a key factor toward building wealth. Local IPOs increase both households’ propensity to own stock and their percent equity holdings. The attention channel drives effects: local IPOs attract attention to the market, through increased information production and publicity. The wealth channel has little influence, consistent with local IPOs not generating wealth shocks for most households.

Do Insiders Hire CEOs with High Managerial Talent?

Review of Finance 2024 28(1), 271-310 open access
We examine the effect of the composition of the board of directors on the firm’s chief executive officer (CEO) hiring decision. Using a novel measure of managerial talent, characterized by an individual’s ascent in the corporate hierarchy, we show that firms with non-CEO inside directors tend to hire CEOs with greater managerial skills. This effect obtains for both internal and external CEO hires; moreover, the effect is pronounced when inside directors have stronger reputational incentives and limited access to soft information about the candidate. Our findings demonstrate that boards with inside directors more effectively screen for managerial talent, thereby improving the CEO hiring process.

Do sell-side analysts say “buy” while whispering “sell”?

Review of Finance 2024 28(4), 1275-1310 open access
We study here say-buy/whisper-sell behavior wherein analysts issue optimistic recommendations to attract retail investors while providing more accurate information to fund managers in private, sometimes resulting in fund managers selling the recommended stocks. We test whether fund managers return the favor using their votes for analysts in a Chinese “star analyst” competition. Managers are more likely to vote for analysts who exhibit greater “say-buy/whisper-sell” behavior toward these managers. This suggests that analysts reduce the accuracy of their public recommendations, thereby maintaining the value of their private advice to funds. Our findings help explain several empirical puzzles about analyst public recommendations.

When passive funds affect prices: evidence from volatility and commodity ETFs

Review of Finance 2024 28(3), 831-863 open access
This article studies exchange-traded funds’ (ETFs) price impact in the most ETF-dominated asset classes: volatility (VIX) and commodities. I propose a new way to measure ETF-related price distortions based on the specifics of futures contracts. This allows me to isolate a component in VIX futures prices that is strongly related to the rebalancing of ETFs. I derive a novel decomposition of ETF trading demand into leverage rebalancing, calendar rebalancing, and flow rebalancing, and show that trading against ETFs is risky. Leverage rebalancing has the largest effects on the ETF-related price component. This rebalancing amplifies price changes and exposes ETF counterparties to variance.

Are Carbon Emissions Associated with Stock Returns?—Reply

Review of Finance 2024 28(1), 111-115 open access
Before directly addressing the Response to critique and further elaboration (hereafter “Comment”), written by Patrick Bolton and Marcin Kacperczyk (BK), a few thanks are in order. First, we thank the editor, Alex Edmans, both for providing BK the opportunity to directly comment on our paper as well as giving us the opportunity to respond. We believe that open intellectual debate is vital especially given the topic at hand. Directly facilitating such a conversation in conjunction with the paper’s publication in RF seems to us a good way to showcase various perspectives with equal prominence. Second, we thank BK for taking up the offer to engage with us within this context. We believe direct engagement is the best way to advance scholarly debate on whether and how investors consider carbon emissions information. In what follows, we write our rejoinder to BK’s Comment in the format of a response memo, that is, we reproduce BK’s main points (with some paraphrasing) and respond to each individually in turn. We believe this is the clearest—and, importantly, most parsimonious—way to provide our thoughts.

Measuring Climate Transition Risk Spillovers

Review of Finance 2024 28(2), 447-481 open access
In this article, we study the transition risk spillover among six major financial markets from 2013 to 2021. The USA is the main transition risk contributor, while Japan and China are the net risk receivers. Risk spillover may change over time and change according to different types of transition risk shocks. It takes around 6 weeks for transition risks to be fairly transmitted. On average, around 50% of local climate shocks to a given financial market originate from other markets. Transmission channels include the transmission of information and the economic connections between countries.

The labor effects of R&D tax incentives: evidence from VC-backed startups

Review of Finance 2024 28(5), 1451-1482
We evaluate the impact of the Protecting Americans from Tax Hikes (PATH) Act of 2015, which allowed some existing venture-capital-backed startups to monetize their research and development (R&D) tax credits against payroll taxes in the United States. We show that marginally eligible startups increase their demand for R&D workers more than marginally ineligible startups after the PATH Act’s enactment. These effects are stronger among startups that are financially constrained. Marginally eligible startups subsequently recruit workers with more education and experience and file more patents with new inventors. Our findings suggest payroll tax credits are effective in scaling startups and stimulating R&D activities through skilled labor recruitment.

Fresh air eases work—the effect of air quality on individual investor activity

Review of Finance 2024 28(3), 1105-1149 open access
This article shows that contemporaneous and lagged air pollution negatively affects the likelihood of German individual investors to log in and trade in their brokerage accounts, using intraday data and controlling for investor-, weather-, traffic-, and market-specific factors. A 1 SD increase in air pollution leads to a 1.3 percent reduction in the probability of logging in, which is larger than the response to a 1 SD increase in sunshine. We argue that changes in air pollution affect productivity in cognitively demanding tasks, such as trading. Our results are robust to macroeconomic productivity shocks, nonlinearities, or measurement error.