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Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Tests of Return Predictability: What Is the Difference?

Review of Financial Studies 2018 31(5), 1784-1824
We compare the performance of time-series (TS) and cross-sectional (CS) strategies based on past returns. While CS strategies are zero-net investment long/short strategies, TS strategies take on a time-varying net long investment in risky assets. For individual stocks, the difference between the performances of TS and CS strategies is largely due to this time-varying net long investment. With multiple international asset classes with heterogeneous return distributions, scaled CS strategies significantly outperform similarly scaled TS strategies.

Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Tests of Return Predictability: What Is the Difference?

Review of Financial Studies 2018 31(5), 1784-1824
We compare the performance of time-series (TS) and cross-sectional (CS) strategies based on past returns. While CS strategies are zero-net investment long/short strategies, TS strategies take on a time-varying net long investment in risky assets. For individual stocks, the difference between the performances of TS and CS strategies is largely due to this time-varying net long investment. With multiple international asset classes with heterogeneous return distributions, scaled CS strategies significantly outperform similarly scaled TS strategies. Received December 7, 2016; editorial decision October 5, 2017 by Editor Andrew Karolyi.