Knowledge that Transforms

ABSTRACT We examine the relation between debt contract renegotiation costs and contract design. We use a plausibly exogenous shock to expected renegotiation costs arising from a change in the taxation of debt renegotiations to show that, as renegotiation costs decline, the maturity of debt contracts lengthens, the initial likelihood of covenant violation increases, and the use of performance pricing provisions becomes less frequent. The evidence indicates that ex ante allocation of cash flow rights and ex post reallocation of decision rights through renegotiation are local substitutes, where the preference for one mechanism versus the other depends, at least in part, on renegotiation costs. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: G32; G33; G38.

ABSTRACT Publications on external reporting have played an important role in the first 100 years of The Accounting Review. The first 40 years featured publications prescribing desirable financial accounting principles. The next 45 years featured archival empirical research focusing on managers’ financial accounting choices and the use of financial accounting information by capital market participants. The most recent 15 years have been characterized by growth in research on sustainability reporting. I briefly summarize this research and propose opportunities for future research. Data Availability: Data are publicly available from sources indicated in the text.

ABSTRACT Prior work documents that managers increase the quantity of earnings guidance provided after exogenously losing coverage from an equity analyst. I examine how analysts influence guidance quality. I find that following an exogenous reduction in analyst coverage, managers issue earnings guidance that is lower quality (i.e., it is less accurate). This result varies predictably based on managers’ incentives, features of the firm’s analyst coverage, and the presence of other intermediaries. Overall, my findings identify a situation in which guidance quantity and quality move in divergent directions and highlight that analysts can be an important determinant of voluntary disclosure quality. JEL Classifications: G10; G17.

ABSTRACT We study the investment efficiency of the historical cost and fair value measurement rules when a reporting firm and its investors confront higher-order uncertainty inferring the behavior of others. Although all investors are attentive to the firm’s report, the firm and investors incorrectly believe only some investors are attentive. We find that a report prepared under the historical cost rule yields greater investment efficiency than under the fair value rule if and only if (1) the investors are badly calibrated, (2) the firm’s production technology exhibits sufficiently strong returns to scale, (3) the firm’s productivity realization is sufficiently negatively correlated with market returns, and (4) the firm is sufficiently well calibrated about its investors’ attentiveness. JEL Classifications: C72; D80; D83; M41.

ABSTRACT We examine how the SEC’s 2014 Municipalities Continuing Disclosure Cooperation initiative (MCDC) affects disclosure compliance in the municipal bond market. The MCDC granted favorable settlement terms to municipal debt issuers and underwriters who voluntarily self-reported having violated SEC disclosure requirements. Although underwriters participated widely, most municipal issuers did not participate in the MCDC initiative despite having publicly observable disclosure violations. We find that, after the MCDC, official statements were less likely to contain false claims about past compliance—particularly when underwriters had participated—suggesting improved underwriter oversight of the initial bond offering. However, contrary to the SEC’s intention, we observe a 9 percent post-MCDC decrease in issuers’ compliance with continuing disclosure requirements compared with a control group of voluntarily disclosing issuers. Our findings provide no evidence that the MCDC improved continuing disclosure compliance; rather, the MCDC may have instead exacerbated noncompliance by exposing the weaknesses of the existing regulatory regime. JEL Classifications: G24; G28; H74; M40; M41.

ABSTRACT This commentary considers experimental and archival auditing research published over the past 50 years and suggests directions for future research. Starting with Ashton (1974a) and Simunic (1980), I discuss major research themes occurring in these literatures. I use Brunswik’s lens model as a metaphor that highlights methodological complementarities and opportunities for convergence to address important issues. Possible topics to consider further in future research include the determinants of audit quality, the structure of audit firms and audit regulation, the effect of emerging technologies like AI, teaching and supporting future auditors, potential enhancements of the audit report, and expansion of the services that auditors provide to society.

ABSTRACT Cash flows play an important role in the accounting and finance literature. They are a major component of earnings, serve as a benchmark for earnings and accruals, and are an input to firm valuation. Although accrual measurement has been extensively studied, research on cash flow measurement remains limited. We review cash flow proxies researchers use in prior literature and highlight the importance of (1) identifying and defining the cash flow construct of interest based on the underlying research question and other constructs of interest and (2) selecting a cash flow proxy that minimizes measurement error and maps well into its construct. We also examine the challenges researchers face in measuring cash flows and demonstrate how measurement choices can affect the magnitude of coefficient estimates and statistical inferences. Finally, our study provides a framework researchers can follow to strengthen the construct validity of cash flow proxies. JEL Classifications: M41; G30; C01.

ABSTRACT This study aims to understand international rotations (“secondments”) as a brokerage mechanism within globally networked public accounting firms (GNFs). Through interviews with 29 secondees on tour to or from the U.S. (individuals on rotation from one member firm to another member firm in a specified role for a fixed period) and 11 firm leaders, we find that secondments are viewed as a critical brokerage function in performing global client service and global risk management. Specifically, secondees bridge gaps in the GNF structure by brokering network ties, technical knowledge, sociocultural knowledge, and language. Secondees embody different brokerage roles and can fulfill more than one brokerage role at a time, depending on the purpose of the secondment and the stage of deployment. Collectively, secondments are important mechanisms by which structural holes are reduced between participating member firms and proximal member firms, ultimately benefiting the global firm and the global clients they serve.

ABSTRACT We examine the economic implications of digital traffic on firms’ financial performance, stock valuation, and financial surprises. Our analysis shows that timely flows of digital traffic are contemporaneous and leading indicators of firms’ revenue and profitability—both gross and operating. Moreover, we show that digital traffic contains novel information about firms’ future performance that is not entirely reflected in stock prices, analyst forecasts, or historical (i.e., time series) financial metrics. Notably, digital-traffic-based investment strategies are lucrative and generate substantial abnormal returns. Importantly, we also adduce evidence that corroborates our conjecture about the underlying economic mechanism that explains the valuation implications of digital traffic: These are driven by firms with consumer-oriented websites that facilitate sale transactions. Data Availability: Data are available from the sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: E32; G32; O33.

ABSTRACT We study whether sell-side financial analysts’ social ties to firm management help them discern firms’ financial reporting frauds and, upon such detection, how the connected analysts disseminate the information. Using unique data from China, we find that, although unconnected analysts do not manifest a significant change in their likelihood of covering the fraud firms nor in issuing more downgrade stock ratings, connected analysts are significantly more likely to drop coverage right after these firms’ first annual reports containing fraudulent information. Meanwhile, mutual funds with a trading commission relationship to these connected analysts (i.e., client funds) are significantly more likely to unload their holdings of fraud firms than nonclient funds after these firms’ first fraudulent annual reports. Overall, the evidence suggests that analysts with social ties to firm management have early access to bad news and choose to privately communicate the negative information to their clients. Data Availability: All data used in this article are publicly available.