The Valuation of the Deferred Tax Liability: Evidence from the Stock Market
[Current reporting rules require inter-period tax allocation whereby the income tax expense reported in the income statement is determined on the basis of pretax book (accounting) income, adjusted for permanent differences between the period's taxable income and book income. The temporary differences accumulate on the balance sheet as a deferred tax liability and are assumed to reverse in future years, gradually reducing the liability. Opponents of interperiod tax allocation argue that reversal of these temporary differences is unlikely or will occur only in the remote future. Thus, support has developed for either partial allocation (e.g., allocating only short-term temporary differences) or no deferral at all. Regardless of such concerns, in 1987 the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) reaffirmed the use of comprehensive interperiod tax allocation. In this study, we perform cross-sectional analyses relating unexpected stock returns around news disclosures about the Tax Reform Act of 1986 to pertinent firm characteristics in an attempt to assess whether the deferred tax liability is viewed as a liability. The main findings of the study are consistent with the hypothesis that investors view the deferred tax liability as a real liability. They appear to discount it according to the timing and likelihood of the liability's settlement. The remainder of the article is organized as follows. Section I describes the previous research on the informativeness of tax deferrals, outlines the hypotheses of this study, and details the procedures used to test them. Section II presents and discusses the results, and the final section provides concluding remarks.]