Knowledge that Transforms

We analyze an experiment conducted by a large U.S. bank that offered consumers achoice between two credit card contracts, one with an annual fee but a lowerinterest rate and one with no annual fee but a higher interest rate. We findthat on average consumers chose the credit contract that minimized their costs.A substantial fraction of consumers (about 40%) still chose the suboptimalcontract. Nonetheless, the probability of choosing the suboptimal contractdeclines with the dollar magnitude of the potential error, and consumers withlarger errors are more likely to subsequently switch to the optimalcontract.

Asset securitization offers banks the possibility of altering their capital structures and the financial intermediation process. This study shows that the introduction of securitization is associated with fundamental changes in the funding policies of banks. We present evidence of more intense use of securitization by banks with stronger growth opportunities, liquidity constraints, costlier alternative sources of funding, and restricted access to capital markets due to adverse selection. Securitization is observed to be higher in the pecking order of financing choices of small- and medium-sized banks and nonlisted banks, which are likely to face more severe adverse selection problems. (JEL G32, G21) 1.

This review of the literature on the 2007-2009 crisis discusses the precrisis conditions, the crisis triggers, the crisis events, the real effects, and the policy responses to the crisis. The precrisis conditions contributed to the housing price bubble and the subsequent price decline that led to a counterparty-risk crisis in which liquidity shrank due to insolvency concerns. The policy responses were influenced both by the initial belief that it was a market-wide liquidity crunch and the subsequent learning that insolvency risk was a major driver. I suggest directions for future research and possible regulatory changes.

We model the interaction between product market competition and internal governance at firms. Competition makes it more difficult to infer a manager’s action given the realized output, thus increasing the cost of inducing effort. An exogenous change in the incentive to shirk increases managerial slack. However, the effects on firm value are ambiguous; in particular, firm value can increase as slack increases. As a result, empirical tests that focus on changes in value may not capture changes in the level of slack. We also provide conditions under which increased competition leads all firms to switch from high to low effort.

Formal finance involves the costly acquisition of information about distant entrepreneurs, while relationship-based finance allows financiers to fund a narrow circle of close entrepreneurs without acquiring costly information. In developing economies with low capital endowments, relationship-based finance is optimal because only high-quality entrepreneurs receive funding. However, formal finance may emerge in equilibrium, and it has the only effect of shifting rents from entrepreneurs to financiers. In more-developed economies with higher capital endowments, formal finance becomes necessary to prevent funding of low-quality entrepreneurs. Nevertheless, relationship-based financing may persist in equilibrium, and low-quality close entrepreneurs are funded even when there are high-quality distant entrepreneurs.