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Stochastic Communication and Coalition Formation

Econometrica 1986 54(1), 129
[We consider an economy in which agents may or may not communicate with each other. Coalitions can form only between linked agents. We consider two cases: agents must communicate directly to be in the same coalition or in the second case indirectly. We consider the communication to be random. The economy may then be represented by a stochastic graph; the admissible coalitions are then stochastic and thus so is the core of an economy. We demonstrate that if the probability that agents are linked with each other does not tend to zero too fast as this number increases, then the probability that a coalition will form and block any non-Walrasian allocation tends to one, as the number of agents goes to infinity.]

An Example of Price Formation in Bilateral Situations: A Bargaining Model with Incomplete Information

Econometrica 1986 54(2), 313
[A seller and a buyer make offers and counteroffers to one another until they reach an agreement, or else one side decides to terminate the negotiations. Neither side knows the value of the other of reaching an agreement. It is shown,using the concept of sequential equilibrium, that if there are known fixed costs in bargaining, then the bargaining must terminate in a single round. The side with the lower costs of waiting makes an offer which the other side either accepts or rejects by terminating the bargaining.]

Analytical Policy Design under Rational Expectations

Econometrica 1986 54(6), 1387
[The formulation of optimal policy in linear rational expectations models is studied using methods analogous to the classical design techniques utilized in linear systems engineering. Specifically, the policy-maker's present-value-like objective function is converted, using the convolution transform, to an equivalent frequency domain, "spectral utility" function. Then the residue calculus and Wiener-Hopf methods are used to maximize spectral utility through the choice of a complex function which represents a sequence of distributed lag coefficients to be applied to current and past values of instrument variables. The solution to this problem is a closed form expression for the decision rule of the dominant player in a particular type of linear-quadratic dynamic game.]

On the Allocation of Residents to Rural Hospitals: A General Property of Two-Sided Matching Markets

Econometrica 1986 54(2), 425
the positions they do fill are filled by foreign medical school graduates. It has been suggested that changes in the manner in which the clearinghouse treats hospitals and students might alter this situation.3 However it was shown in Roth [4] that any two outcomes that are stable-the relevant equilibrium notion4 for this kind of market-fill the same number of positions at any hospital. Since that paper also showed that the clearinghouse procedure yields a stable outcome, any change in procedure that preserves this property would thus have no effect on the perceived numerical maldistribution of physicians among hospitals. Here it is shown that any hospital that fails to fill all of its positions at some stable outcome will not only fill the same number of positions at any other stable outcome, but will fill them with exactly the same residents. Thus, while the staffs of other hospitals are determined by which of the multiple equilibria of such a market is reached, the situation of hospitals whose positions are not all filled remains unaffected. The maldistribution of phvsicians, and particularly of American educated physicians, is therefore a property of equilibria of this kind of market, and not an artifact of the particular equilibrium presently selected. The formal model:5 The agents in the hospital-intern market consist of two disjoint

Competition of Firms: Discriminatory Pricing and Location

Econometrica 1986 54(3), 623
Two costlessly mobile firms are to be located in a market region, a subset of the plane. The firms compete by setting locations and delivered price schedules. To study this competitive stiuation an appropriate extensive form game is defined, along with an appropri- ate noncooperative solution concept. Existence and general properties of the equilibrium are demonstrated. Among the results are: Each firm increases its profit by locating so as to decrease total cost to both firms of serving the market. Firms will never locate coinciden- tally if they have identical production costs and transport cost rates, or if these are different and the firms are located in a circular market region having a uniform demand distribution. THIS PAPER STUDIES competition between two profit maximizing firms in space who are costlessly mobile and may discriminate in price. We will allow the firms to set locations and delivered price schedules and we will be concerned with the existence- and properties of equilibria in location and price. Starting with Hotelling (9), the spatial competition literature has focused on location on bounded linear markets by two or more firms. Hotelling assumed identical firms that produced a single good with constant cost of production and considered consumers to be uniformly distributed and to have inelastic demand. He also assumed that the consumers pay transport cost and purchase the good from the cheapest source. Hotelling claimed that a Nash equilibrium in locations for the two firm market existed and yielded back-to-back locations at the center of the market. Many authors, most recently, D'Aspremont, Gabszewicz, and Thisse (2) have noted that an equilbrium in prices and location does not exist for Hotelling's model. However, if the firms employ identical exogeneously specified prices, Hotelling's conclusions hold. Subsequent work by Smithies (14), Hartwick and Hartwick (7), and Eaton (3) claimed to show that a Nash equi- librium in f.o.b. prices and locations can exist in markets with a uniform distribu- tion of consumers each of whom have identical elastic demand functions for the two and three firm problems. The work of D'Aspremont et al. casts doubt on these conclusions without the adoption of restrictive conditions. Our work contrasts with these works and related research which has dealt with linear markets, with uniform distributions of customers and with identical firms. Our work will involve markets that are subsets of the plane having nonuniform distributions of customers. Our firms will be allowed to be different, that is, have differences in production and transport costs. However, the fundamental difference in our approach is that our firms will set discriminatory prices and not price f.o.b. In many ways our work will represent the discriminatory pricing

The Encompassing Principle and its Application to Testing Non-Nested Hypotheses

Econometrica 1986 54(3), 657
The encompassing principle is used to develop a testing framework which unifies the literature on non-nested testing, allowing analysis of the relationship between alternative tests and in particular enabling asymptotic and finite sample equivalences and identities to be established easily when they exist, as well as embracing nested hypothesis testing. The concept of the implicit null hypothesis of a test is introduced to show that the effective acceptance region for some tests extends beyond the acceptance region corresponding to the null of interest, and so such tests can be inconsistent against fixed alternatives closely related to the nominal null and alternative. The analysis is illustrated by an application to two non-nested linear regression models, and it is shown that the conventional F test, as well as all the one degree of freedom non-nested tests, has an encompassing interpretation, and that the F test is a complete parametric encompassing test.

Common Agency

Econometrica 1986 54(4), 923
[We extend the principal-agent framework with risk-neutral principals to situations in which several principals simultaneously and independently attempt to influence a common agent. We show that implementation is, in the aggregate, always efficient (cost-minimizing), and that noncooperative behavior induces an efficient (potentially second-best) action choice if and only if collusion among the principals would implement the first-best action at the first-best level of cost. We also investigate the existence of equilibria, the distribution of net rewards among principals, the characteristics of actions chosen in inefficient equilibria, and potential institutional remedies for welfare losses induced by noncooperative behavior.]

A Theory of Exit in Duopoly

Econometrica 1986 54(4), 943
We develop a duopoly model in which exit occurs because of the existence of fixed costs or opportunity costs. Each firm enters the market knowing its own cost, but not that of its opponent. As times goes on, each firm becomes increasingly pessimistic about the cost of its remaining rival. The time of exit is the only strategic variable, so that our model is a of attrition. In contrast to the classic war of attrition, however, we assume that with positive probability each firm's costs may be low enough that staying in forever is a dominant strategy. Thus our model, unlike the classic one, has a unique equilibrium.