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Individual Effects in a Nonlinear Model: Explicit Treatment of Heterogeneity in the Empirical Job-Search Model

Econometrica 1981 49(4), 965
[This paper extends the empirical version of a job-search model to permit heterogeneity in the location of wage offer distributions. Population variance in wage offers is decomposed into variance due to heterogeneity and variance facing each individual. Heterogeneity is found to be an important source of offer variance in the population. The amount of "pure wage offer dispersion" facing individuals is found to contribute little to population variance.]

Applied Welfare Economics with Discrete Choice Models

Econometrica 1981 49(1), 105
Economists have been paying increasing attention to the study of situations in which csumers face a discrete rather than a continous set of choices.Such models are potentially very important in evaluating the impact of government programs upon consi.mterwelfare.But very little has been said in general regarding the tools of applied welfare economics in discrete choice situations.This paper shows how the conventional methods of applied welfare economics can be modified to handle such cases.It focuses on the cornputation of the excess burden of taxation, and the evaluation of gua].itychange.The results are applied to stochastic utility models, including the popular cases of prohit and logit analysis.Throughout, the ernp)-asis is on providing rigorous guidelines for carrying out applied work.

Monitoring Cooperative Agreements in a Repeated Principal-Agent Relationship

Econometrica 1981 49(5), 1127
The situation in which a principal-agent relationship is repeated finitely many times (T) is formulated as a sequential game.For any Pareto-optimal cooperative arrangement in the one-period game that dominates a one-period Nash equilibrium, and any positive number epsilon, there exists for every sufficiently large T a (noncooperative) epsilon equilibrium of the T-period game that yields each player an average expected utility that is at least his expected utility in the one-period cooperative arrangement, less epsilon.

Optimal Taxes and the Structure of Preferences

Econometrica 1981 49(5), 1245
If optimal tax theory is to be the basis for calculating tax rates, a close understanding is required of the relationship between the structure of preferences and the configuration of optimal tax rates. Otherwise hypotheses chosen by the econometrician for practical convenience may completely determine the results, independently of measurement. This paper explores the relationship between various types of separability, particularly weak and implicit separability, and optimal tax rates in the various models discussed in the literature. The use of distance functions and the Antonelli matrix provides a significant unification of previously disparate results. IN THE FINAL ANALYSIS, optimal tax theory should be the basis for actual calculation of tax rates. Although recently there have been great advances in theoretical results and in our understanding of their meaning, we are still some way from a working knowledge of whether uniform commodity taxes are in practice optimal or, if not, which commodities should be discriminated against. Present theoretical formulae do not yield clear-cut results except in special cases and it has recently become clear that optimal rates depend crucially on the detailed structure of consumer preferences. For example, Atkinson and Stiglitz [3] show that with an optimal nonlinear income tax, discriminatory commodity taxes are only necessary to the extent that individual commodities are not weakly separable from leisure. More recently, Deaton [6] has shown that a similar result holds for what is perhaps the most interesting of the standard models, that where there are many consumers and only a linear income tax and proportional commodity taxes are allowed. In this case, separability between goods and leisure, together with linear Engel curves for goods, removes the need for differential commodity taxation. In consequence, nothing can be learned about commodity taxes from consumer demand studies in which commodity demands are explained conditionally on total expenditure and commodity prices and which assume linear Engel curves. All such studies require separability from leisure as a maintained hypothesis and so are consistent with uniform commodity taxation. These results suggest that the prospects for meaningful empirical calculations of tax rates are bleak. Econometricians estimating commodity demand and labor supply equations make generous use of separability assumptions to enable estimation at all. In consequence, it is likely that empirically calculated tax rates, based on econometric estimates of parameters, will be determined in structure, not by the measurements actually made, but by arbitrary, untested (and even unconscious) hypotheses chosen by the econometrician for practical convenience. To remedy this situation, and as a prelude to fruitful empirical work, it is necessary to have a more explicit understanding of how preference structure affects optimal tax rates. Such is the object of this paper. Three different

Second Thoughts on Wald's Cost-of-Living Index and Frisch's Double Expenditure Method

Econometrica 1981 49(6), 1553
THE RESEARCH on the economic theory of the cost-of-living index has not paid much attention to the proposals made by Frisch and Wald in the thirties. In Frisch [3,4] the was developed and tested on certain examples. Wald [8] succeeded in deriving a new for the index of cost of living in an article containing a curious editorial footnote by Frisch on the comparative advantages of both methods. Banerjee [1] presented a simplification of the derivation of Wald's new formula. In an article commemorating Frisch, Samuelson [7] asked for a study of the relative merits of Frisch's and Wald's proposals to which he added a variant of his own. Recently Banerjee [2] succeeded in showing that Wald's new formula is the true cost-of-living index for a general quadratic utility function. In this paper I give an alternative, mathematically equivalent but economically more meaningful, derivation which highlights the resemblance of Wald's index to the true cost-of-living index corresponding to the familiar Klein-Rubin-Stone-Geary utility function (Section 2). This derivation provides a convenient framework for discussing Frisch's double-expenditure method (Section 3) and Samuelson's proposal (Section 4) and for assessing the relative merits of them. I hope this note is a (partial) answer to Samuelson's question.