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The Effects of Automobile Safety Regulation

Journal of Political Economy 1975 83(4), 677-725
This paper reviews the current evidence supporting the benefits of improving automobile safety by regulation of product design, and proceeds to an independent evaluation of the effects. Technological studies imply that annual highway deaths would be 20 percent greater without legally mandated installation of various safety devices on automobiles. However, this literature ignores offsetting effects of nonregulatory demand for safety and driver response to the devices. This article indicates that these offsets are virtually complete, so that regulation has not decreased highway deaths. Time-series (but not cross-section) data imply some saving of auto occupants' lives at the expense of more pedestrian deaths and more nonfatal accidents, a pattern consistent with optimal driver response to regulation.

The Effect of Government Subsidies-in-Kind on Private Expenditures: The Case of Higher Education

Journal of Political Economy 1973 81(1), 1-27
The article points out that a subsidy-in-kind, such as below-cost education provided by state universities, replaces more private consumption of the subsidized good that an equivalent money subsidy, such as a scholarship. Indeed, a subsidy-in-kind may reduce total consumption. Empirical estimates in the article indicate that in higher education (a) about three-fourths of government expenditures substitute for private expenditures, (b) this fraction has exceeded one in a recent period, (c) a substantial part of this government-private substitution is due to the in-kind form of government subsidies, and (d) there is less government-private substitution in enrollment than expenditures.

An Evaluation of Consumer Protection Legislation: The 1962 Drug Amendments

Journal of Political Economy 1973 81(5), 1049-1091
The 1962 drug amendments seek to prevent wasted expenditure stimulated by exaggerated claims for effectiveness of new drugs by requiring premarketing approval of all new drug claims by the Food and Drug Administration. The compliance costs are shown to have engendered a marked reduction in drug innovation. Consumer surplus analysis is then adapted and supplemented with "expert" drug evaluations to estimate the relevant benefits and costs. The main finding is that benefits forgone on effective new drugs exceed greatly the waste avoided on ineffective drugs. The estimated net impact is equivalent to a 5-10 percent tax on drug purchases.

School Performance and the Youth Labor Market

Journal of Labor Economics 2004 22(2), 299-327
We estimate how 1970–90 changes in an outcome‐based measure of school quality (state average test scores) affected changes in earnings for those leaving high school to enter a state’s labor force. We find that a one standard deviation deterioration in a state’s relative test score performance is associated with a 3% (or .5 SD) reduction in average wages of young entrants to the labor force. We also find a similar decline in college matriculation. There is weak evidence that the school quality effect on earnings diminishes as labor force entrants acquire experience.