Knowledge that Transforms

In this study, we argue that share price reaction to a firm's capital expenditure decisions depends critically on the market's assessment of the quality of its investment opportunities. We postulate that announcements of increases (decreases) in capital expenditures positively (negatively) affect the stock prices of firms with valuable investment opportunities. Contrarily, we predict that announcements of increases (decreases) in capital spending negatively (positively) affect the share prices of firms without such opportunities. Our empirical results are generally consistent with these predictions. Overall, empirical evidence supports our conjecture that it is the quality of the firm's investment opportunities rather than its industry affiliation which determines the share price reaction to its capital expenditure decisions.

This study examines the relation of bank loan terms to borrower risk defined by the banks’ internal credit rating. The analysis is not restricted to a static view. It also incorporates rating transition and its implications on the relation. Money illusion and phenomena linked with relationship banking are discovered as important factors. The results show that riskier borrowers pay higher loan rate premiums and rely more on bank finance. Housebanks obtain more collateral and provide more finance. Caused by money illusion in times of high market interest rates loan rate premiums are relatively small whereas in times of low market interest rates they are relatively high. There was no evidence for an appropriate adjustment of loan terms to rating changes.

In this paper we investigate the existence of profit opportunities in the Greek market for the 6/49 Lotto. Under the assumption of random number selection we find evidence suggesting that the market is efficient. Because number selection is found to deviate from randomness, we further investigate the existence of profit opportunities due to number unpopularity. The evidence suggests that although unpopular numbers exist, they are not sufficiently unpopular so as to generate positive expected payoffs.

The higher rate of taxation on dividend income relative to capital gains has been offered as an explanation for the positive relation between stock returns and dividend yields among US firms. In the UK the relative tax rates are the reverse of those in the US. Thus, UK data provides an independent test of the tax-based approach to explaining the relation between stock returns and dividend yields. We find that high yielding stocks earn positive risk adjusted returns, whereas low yielding stocks earn negative risk adjusted returns. We also detect evidence of non-linearity in the performance of zero-dividend stocks. Controlling for firm size, seasonality and market risk we find a significant positive relation between dividend yields and returns. We conclude that the evidence is inconsistent with a tax-based explanation.

This study considers the joint influence of contemporaneous and lagged responses to macroeconomic news in explaining US day-of-the-week effects. Macroeconomic news is measured by movements in large firms' stock prices. The average response of smaller stocks to these movements is abnormally high on Mondays, especially in down markets. After corrections for these asymmetries, the US day-of-the-week effect weakens substantially for most size-ranked portfolios in most of the six approximately equal subperiods between 1962 and 1992. These findings suggest that seasonals in processing macroeconomic news account for much of the day-of-the-week effect in equity returns.

The Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act (IBBEA) represented a significant step in the deregulation of interstate banking and branching. The IBBEA's passage had a positive wealth effect on a sample of large Bank Holding Companies (BHCs). Cross-sectional tests of abnormal returns reveal that BHCs having characteristics associated with acquisition targets and BHCs headquartered in states that prohibited interstate branching experienced significantly higher returns. Collectively, the evidence suggests that investors anticipated that the IBBEA would provide for increased corporate control activities among banks and that a large portion of the BHC gains stems from the relaxation of interstate branching restrictions.

A stochastic valuation model is developed to value a commercial and industrial loan portfolio related to the Mexican bank loan resolution process. Instead of trying to predict the winning bid outright, with this model we determine the underlying probability distribution of the prices offered in a competitive auction. Fairly narrow confidence intervals for the highest bid can be estimated which seem to improve as the number of bidders increases.

The market for angel capital – where individuals provide risk capital directly to small, private, often start-up firms – operates in almost total obscurity. Very little is known about the market's size, scope, the type of firms that raise angel capital, and the types of individuals that provide it. In this paper I present evidence on the angel market gathered from my field research which has involved interviews with more than a dozen angel investors in the Dallas/Fort Worth area. The angel market appears to be a very heterogeneous and localized market. With that qualification in mind, I present some common characteristics of the angels I interviewed, and how they select and monitor their investments. I pay particular attention to how they address adverse selection and moral hazard problems. I compare their behavior with venture capital limited partnerships in the more formal market for venture capital.

This study investigates the announcement effects of offerings of convertible bond loans and warrant-bond loans using data for the Dutch market. The event study analysis shows that announcement effects of convertible bonds are associated with positive but insignificant abnormal returns and that announcements of warrant-bonds are associated with significant positive abnormal returns. These findings are similar to the results for Japanese hybrid debt, as reported by Kang et al. (1995) (Kang, J.K., Kim, Y.C., Park, K.J., Stulz, R.M., 1995. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, pp. 257–270) and Kang and Stulz (1996) (Kang, J.K., Stulz, R.M., 1996. Review of Financial Studies, pp. 109–139), but they contrast with studies for the United States that generally find significant negative abnormal returns for convertible bond loans and insignificant negative abnormal returns for warrant-bond loans. Our results cannot be attributed to differences in the corporate governance structures of the Netherlands and the United States. We find that the positive abnormal returns for the warrant-bond loans are caused by the packaging of the announcements with other (good) firm-specific news.