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A Determination of the Risk of Ruin: Comment

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1981 16(5), 759
The measures of risk proposed by Vinso are properly motivated with a concern for the dynamic nature of a firm's operations. The measures are subject to restrictions in application and interpretation, however. Some of these restrictions were caused by the choice of the Cornish-Fisher expansion to incorporate the adjustment for skewness and the resulting quadratic equation. The problems created by the existence of multiple real or imaginary roots to this equation are unresolved in the paper.Apart from these problems, the measures do not represent probabilities of ruin; they often significantly understate the true probability. We have shown that the measures related to εrp are applicable only to firms with positive-drift processes and argue that they should be evaluated in a multivariate context.

A Normative Approach to Pension Fund Management

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1981 16(4), 533
George M. Frankfurter, Joanne M. Hill, A Normative Approach to Pension Fund Management, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 16, No. 4, Proceedings of 16th Annual Conference of the Western Finance Association, June 18-20, 1981, Jackson Hole, Wyoming (Nov., 1981), pp. 533-555

The Impact of Regulatory and Monetary Factors on Bank Loan Charges

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1981 16(2), 227
The objective of this study is to determine the impact of money market conditions and a bank's regulatory environment on the interest rates banks charge on their loans. This is accomplished through the analysis of the effect of these impacts, in a multiperiod framework, on a bank's optimal investment and borrowing decisions and the minimum required rate of return on its asset portfolio.

Equal Access and Miller's Equilibrium

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1981 16(4), 603
Judy Shelton, Equal Access and Miller's Equilibrium, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 16, No. 4, Proceedings of 16th Annual Conference of the Western Finance Association, June 18-20, 1981, Jackson Hole, Wyoming (Nov., 1981), pp. 603-623

Global Purchasing Power View of Exchange Risk

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1981 16(5), 639
The recent experience of increased volatility of exchange rates among major currencies coupled with highly unstable price levels necessitates a more fundamental understanding of exchange risk. This necessity is further enhanced by the increased internationalization of consumption, investment, and other aspects of economic activity.

Extensions to Portfolio Theory to Reflect Vast Wealth Differences Among Investors

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1981 16(1), 53
Much of modern portfolio theory rests on conclusions drawn from the original form of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Fundamental to the conclusions of this model is the assumption of perfect competition among investors; i.e., all investors possess approximately the same small amount of wealth such that equilibrium price cannot be influenced significantly by the demand of any of the investors. Today's security market, however, is characterized by individuals and large institutional investors such as insurance companies and investment funds. Although institutions represent a very small fraction of all investors in the market, institutional investors in 1977 held 34.3 percent of all outstanding stock. By the very magnitude of the dollar transactions effected by these large investors, prices can and are affected dramatically. Because today's security market is composed of investors exhibiting extreme differences in wealth, the United States securities market probably is not perfectly competitive as assumed in portfolio theory. Consequently, investment theory must be extended to reflect vast wealth differences among investors. To achieve this end, modifications are made to the original Capital Asset Pricing Model. Equilibrium conditions are examined and conclusions are drawn as to how portfolio theory must be altered to include price affecting ability by a segment of the investors in the market.