Andrew T. Levin of Dartmouth College and NBER reviews “Monetary Policy and Its Unintended Consequences” by Raghuram Rajan. The EconLit abstract of this book begins: “Details how monetary adventurism can have unintended effects and promotes policy that is moderate and focused on combating high inflation and financial instability.”

We investigate the performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules using five macroeconomic models that reflect a wide range of views on aggregate dynamics. We identify the key characteristics of rules that are robust to model uncertainty; such rules respond to the one-year-ahead inflation forecast and to the current output gap and incorporate a substantial degree of policy inertia. In contrast, rules with longer forecast horizons are less robust and are prone to generating indeterminacy. Finally, we identify a robust benchmark rule that performs very well in all five models over a wide range of policy preferences.