Though public intervention in the market for research is virtually universal, economists have paid surprisingly little attention to the choice of the form of research incentive in a given market structure. Many studies concentrate on patents, but any assumption of their superiority over other incentives has been founded on intuition rather than on formal analysis. In this paper I analyze the choice between three of the most alternative means of public intervention in the research market, namely, patents, prizes, and direct contracting for research services. I show why, and under what conditions, any one of the three may be preferred by a social welfare-maximizing administrator in a competitive economy, using a model that, for the first time, pays explicit attention to differences in the informational roles of each of these alternatives. In the extensive literature on the economics of patents (see Arnold Plant, 1934; Fritz Machlup, 1958; Charles Taylor and Z. A. Silberston, 1973; Morton Kamien and Nancy Schwartz, 1975; and F. M. Scherer, 1977, for valuable surveys), formal analysis weighs the benefits of patents as a solution to the market failure associated with the inappropriability of knowledge against the welfare cost due to the restriction on the use of the knowledge generated, and this tradeoff is optimized by patent life adjustment in William Nordhaus (1969). Scant analytical attention is paid to alternative incentive mechanisms. (An exception is Ben Yu, 1981, who considers the role of prior contracting for inventions.) But as many writers (for example, Dan Usher, 1964; Yoram Barzel, 1968; Joseph Stiglitz, 1969; Carole Kitti, 1973; Glenn Loury, 1979; Partha Dasgupta and Stiglitz, 1980a) have pointed out in various contexts, the incentive offered by an unlimited patent to competitive researchers may be excessive, due to the common pool problem discussed further in Section I below. If the patent administrator and researchers share the same information, as implicitly assumed in previous models, then the patent life limitation can be adjusted to provide the optimal patent incentive, given the pool problem. But in all such models, patents would not be chosen in a fully optimized fiscal system. Researchers and the administrator are assumed to have identical information about the shadow price of potential inventions; a patent is just a means of turning this shadow price into a monetary reward. But monetary compensation can instead be offered directly to researchers by the state. Assuming that patent revenues incur a higher deadweight loss than an equivalent amount of public funds financed by less distortionary means (for example, a minimally efficient tax system), appropriate prizes or government contracts are socially preferable to patents with optimal lives. If the patent is ever to be the optimal incentive mechanism for research, it must possess advantages not captured in existing models. Informal discussions of patents emphasize their informational role. To include the latter as a justification for decentralized invention incentives, I incorporate an ex ante imbalance of information about costs and benefits of research in the model presented in Section II. But this alone is not quite enough. It is further necessary to specify that the terms of the award must be fixed before *Department of Economics, Economic Growth Center, Box 1987 Yale Station, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520. I thank, with the usual caveat, Marguerite Alejandro-Wright, Cindy Arfken, Martin Baily, Nuong Brennan, Steven Englander, Robert Evenson, Richard Levin, Richard Nelson, Susan Rose-Ackerman, Denis Wright, and two referees for assistance of various kinds.

This paper focuses on the welfare effects of output instability and its elimination. Assuming Muthian rationality, risk neutrality, and lagged production response, I show how output instability affects the long-run production incentive. The gains and losses from the elimination of output disturbances ("ideal stabilization") are evaluated, and simple general conditions are derived which determine whether producers or consumers can expect to gain or lose from such stabilization. The distribution of the gains is generally more evenhanded than indicated in previous expectational models of price stabilization, which can be interpreted as special cases of this model.

This paper examines the welfare effects of introducing storage into a market with stochastic supply in which all agents are competitive profit-maximizers with rational expectations. These welfare effects are the net result of the initial increase in demand for stock-building and the partial and asymmetric reduction in the dispersion of consumption brought about by storage. The distributional impacts depend crucially on the information available to producers before storage is introduced, the elasticity of supply, the specification of the consumption demand curve, and the cost of storage.

Author(s): Kletzer, Kenneth M.; Wright, Brian D. | Abstract: Borrowing and lending between sovereign parties is modeled as intertemporal barter that smoothes the consumption of a risk-averse party subject to endowment shocks. The surplus anticipated in the relationship offers sufficient incentive for cooperation by all parties, including any other competitive agents who are potential lenders to the sovereign. The sole punishments consist of renegotiation-proof changes in the path of future payments. We show that intertemporal trade can be sustained in the absence of any exogenous enforcement of lending relationships whatsoever. That is, borrowing and lending are possible under anarchy, and are supported by punishments that consist of cheating any cheater. Long-term implicit relationships may be fulfilled as the continual renegotiation of simple incomplete short-term loans. The analysis suggests that the crucial role of the explicit loan contract is the identification of the relationship and the parties involved.

Brian D. Wright, Peter G. Warr; The Isolation Paradox, the Social Discount Rate, and Neutrality: Further Thoughts, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 10

Glenn P. Jenkins, Brian D. Wright, Taxation of Income of Multinational Corporations: The Case of the United States Petroleum Industry, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 57, No. 1 (Feb., 1975), pp. 1-11