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Decline of Male Labor Market Participation: The Role of Declining Market Opportunities

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1992 107(1), 79-121
This paper uses micro data from the Current Population Surveys to document the secular decline in labor market activity among prime age men from 1967 to 1987. Declines in employment occur at all ages but are found to be particularly severe among less-educated and low-wage men. Information on the cross-section wage-employment relationship and on actual wage changes indicates that the initial fall in employment from the late 1960s to the early 1970s is entirely attributable to falling labor supply whereas since the early 1970s, wage changes predict most of the decline in employment for whites and approximately half of the decline for blacks.

Equity Issues and Changes in Expectations of Earnings by Financial Analysts

Review of Financial Studies 1992 5(4), 669-683
Evidence is provided on an implication of models by Myers and Majluf (1984) and Miller and Rock (1985), which predict that equity issues convey information about firms' future earnings. Consistent with the prediction, the results show that earnings forecast revisions by financial analysts subsequent to the announcement of equity issues are significantly related to announcement period abnormal returns. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

Some economics of global warming

American Economic Review 1992
The greenhouse effect itself is simple enough to understand and is not in any real dispute. What is in dispute is its magnitude over the coming century, its translation into changes in climates around the globe, and the impacts of those climate changes on human welfare and the natural environment. These are beyond the professional understanding of any single person. The sciences involved are too numerous and diverse. Demography, economics, biology, and the technology sciences are needed to project emissions; atmospheric chemistry, oceanography, biology, and meteorology are needed to translate emissions into climates; biology, agronomy, health sciences, economics, sociology, and glaciology are needed to identify and assess impacts on human societies and natural ecosystems. And those are not all. There are expert judgments on large pieces of the subject, but no single person clothed in this panoply of disciplines has shown up or is likely to. This article makes an attempt to forecast the economic and social consequences of global warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases, and attempting to prevent it.

Fundamental analysis and subsequent stock returns

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1992 15(2-3), 413-442
This paper re-examines the Ou and Penman (1989) conclusion that fundamental analysis identifies equity values not currently reflected in stock prices, and thus systematically predicts abnormal returns. Their fundamental summary measure Pr, the estimated probability of an earnings increase, also proxies for firm size and CAPM risk. After controlling cross-sectional differences in CAPM beta and firm size, no significant incremental predictive ability is attributable to Pr. The Pr measure is interpreted as a proxy for expected return differences rather than as new evidence of a systematic market underreaction to the future earnings signal inherent in current financial statements.

Sequential Vertical Integration

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1992 107(3), 1101-1111
Journal Article Sequential Vertical Integration Get access Herman C. Quirmbach Herman C. Quirmbach Iowa State University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 107, Issue 3, August 1992, Pages 1101–1111, https://doi.org/10.2307/2118377 Published: 01 August 1992

Risk Preferences in Participative Budgeting.

The Accounting Review 1992 67(2), 303-318
Abstract Examines participative budgeting in the context of the psychology of risk. Theoretical background on risk preferences; Empirical evidence of domain-specific risk preferences; Study design; Dispositional risk attitude measurement; Preference ratings of risk-averse versus risk-taking groups; Limitations of the study.

The Valuation of Multiple Claim Insurance Contracts

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1992 27(2), 229
This paper provides a closed form solution for the value of a multiple claim insurance contract that is subject to a deductible amount and/or an upper limit on claims. The solution is a time integral of European option prices. The model provides three important insights. First, systematic risk in insurance policies is altered in the presence of deductibles and maximum indemnity levels. Second, idiosyncratic risk affects policy valuation and the required rates of return on underwriting portfolios. Finally, contrary to traditional actuarial intuition, changes in the risk-free interest rate may either increase or reduce policy values.