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The effect of the interbank network structure on contagion and common shocks

Journal of Banking & Finance 2013 37(7), 2216-2228
This paper proposes a dynamic multi-agent model of a banking system with central bank. Banks optimize a portfolio of risky investments and riskless excess reserves according to their risk, return, and liquidity preferences. They are linked via interbank loans and face stochastic deposit supply. Comparing different interbank network structures, it is shown that money-centre networks are more stable than random networks. Evidence is provided that the central bank stabilizes interbank markets in the short run only. Systemic risk via contagion is compared with common shocks and it is shown that both forms of systemic risk require different optimal policy responses.

Measuring regulatory complexity

Journal of Financial Economics 2025 174, 104186
We propose a framework to study regulatory complexity, based on concepts from computer science. We distinguish different dimensions of complexity, classify existing measures, develop new ones, compute them on three examples — Basel I, the Dodd–Frank Act, and the European Banking Authority’s reporting rules — and test them using experiments and a survey on compliance costs. We highlight two measures that capture complexity beyond the length of a regulation. We propose a quantitative approach to the policy trade-off between regulatory complexity and precision.

Information contagion and systemic risk

Journal of Financial Stability 2018 35, 159-171
We examine the effect of ex-post information contagion on the ex-ante level of systemic risk defined as the probability of joint bank default. Because of counterparty risk or common exposures, bad news about one bank reveals valuable information about another bank, triggering information contagion. When banks are subject to common exposures, information contagion induces small adjustments to bank portfolios and therefore increases overall systemic risk. When banks are subject to counterparty risk, by contrast, information contagion induces a large shift toward more prudential portfolios, thereby reducing systemic risk.