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Do stock-level experienced returns influence security selection?

Journal of Banking & Finance 2023 157, 107034
We examine whether the managers of equity mutual funds exhibit reinforcement learning, investing more heavily in firms in which they previously experienced higher returns. The results reliably support this hypothesis. Experienced returns are related to managers' re-balancing decisions in response to flows. Experienced returns do not play a role for index-tracking funds. When new managers come in a fund, their experiences with stocks in their old funds, influence the investments in these stocks by their new funds. Funds managed by managers who rely more on reinforcement learning, earn lower returns. Experienced returns, when aggregated across managers for each stock, predict persistent lower stock returns. Overall, our evidence suggests that reinforcement learning plays a role in the stock-specific return trades of portfolio managers, with important implications for fund performance and asset prices.

Seeing is believing: Tourism and foreign equity investments

Journal of Banking & Finance 2025 178, 107498
This study examines whether international tourism affects financial market investments. Using over two decades of data for more than 30 countries, we find that recreational travel between countries is associated with higher levels of foreign equity investments and reduced home bias. This evidence of tourism-induced foreign investment is consistent with the familiarity hypothesis and is unlikely to reflect superior information. We alleviate potential endogeneity concerns using several econometric techniques, including instrumental variables, quasi-natural experiments, and multiple placebo tests. Collectively, these results suggest that tourism has positive externalities in financial markets.