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Beyond segmentation: The case of China’s repo markets

Journal of Banking & Finance 2007 31(3), 939-954
This paper explores the reasons behind the discrepancy between interest rates in China’s two repurchase agreement (repo) markets, the interbank repo market and the exchange-traded repo market. The repo rates in the exchange market are at times, significantly higher than those in the interbank market, especially in the first three years of the 2000–2005 sample period. While market segmentation clearly hinders arbitrage, the causes of the repo rate discrepancy are related to the alternative investment opportunities available to market participants and to the volatility differences in the repo rates.

Presidential Particularism (and the Trump Anomaly): Evidence from Federal Contract Awards and Capital Markets

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2025 14(4), 1024-1057
We document presidential particularism in the allocation of U.S. federal government contracts. Firms in “Swing” and “Core” states receive disproportionately higher federal contracts during election cycles. Contracts peak in reelection years for incumbent presidents suggesting electoral and partisan motives. Awards to “Core” states fall relative to “Hostile” states in election years of the presidents’ second terms. Government agencies engage more aggressively in particularism when aligned with the president’s party. Particularism disappeared during the Trump presidency, with Hostile-state firms awarded more contracts. Market participants, who are slow to recognize the relationship between particularism and corporate earning, underreact to this phenomenon.

Information Dissemination and the Monetary Policy Uncertainty Premium: Evidence from China

Journal of Banking & Finance 2025 171, 107371
This paper proposes a novel monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) measure aggregating information from policy communication, policy operation and news coverage. We find that the aggregate MPU measure significantly commands a negative risk premium in the cross-section of the Chinese stock market. Stocks with higher (lower) MPU beta, favored (avoided) for hedging against MPU shocks, contribute to the premium through their under-performance (outperformance). Our results remain robust after controlling for economic uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty, and monetary policy surprises. We further show that the aggregate MPU measure outperforms its individual components in both portfolio- and stock-level asset pricing tests.