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Two-Sided Uncertainty and "Up-or-Out" Contracts

Journal of Labor Economics 1988 6(4), 423-444
A bilateral moral-hazard problem provides a rationale for "up-or-out" employment contracts. The employer sets a wage higher than opportunity cost to induce the worker to invest in firm-specific capital. If the individual does not make the grade, it is in the firm's interest ex post to fire him. Had the initial arrangement not included provisions for firing individuals, the firm would underreport the value of the employee, wrecking the incentive scheme. The basic model permits both firm and worker to be risk neutral. Therefore, it admits a straightforward multiperiod extension, which we also investigate.

Optimality of Periodicity

Review of Economic Studies 1988 55(1), 127
Often the timing of certain activities has a strong periodic element.Due to circumstanc es, an activity is sometimes made outside the regular cycle, but it d oes not break the cycle. Thus, the timing of future activities is hig hly predict-able. The author provides a stochastic model where the da ta are not seasonal, yet the optimal behavior has a strong periodic e lement.