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Corporate capital expenditure decisions and the market value of the firm

Journal of Financial Economics 1985 14(3), 399-422
This paper is an ‘event-time’ study of the common stock prices of a sample of 658 corporations around the dates on which they publicly announced their future capital expenditure plans. For industrial firms, announcements of increases (decreases) in planned capital expenditures are associated with significant positive (negative) excess stock returns. For public utility firm, neither increases nor decreases in planned capital expenditures are associated with significant excess stock returns. We interpret the evidence as being consistent with the hypothesis that managers seek to maximize the market value of the firm in making their corporate capital expenditure decisions.

Valuation of a Mortgage Company's Servicing Portfolio

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1976 11(3), 433
This paper presented a stochastic discounted cash flow model with which mortgage companies can assess the value of a mortgage servicing contract. The model was illustrated with data provided by a group of eight MBC's. Simulation and sensitivity analysis showed the impact of different mortgage amounts, termination distributions, and expected rates of servicing cost increases on the value of a mortgage servicing portfolio. In general, because servicing contracts are long-term fixed revenue arrangements, high rates of servicing cost increases substantially reduce the value of an MBC's servicing portfolio. To the extent that mortgage prepayments are reduced by high inflation rates, the impact of high cost increases on the value of a servicing portfolio is compounded.

Outside directors and corporate board decisions

Journal of Corporate Finance 2005 11(1-2), 37-60
Between 1993 and 2000, at least 18 countries saw publication of guidelines proposing minimum representation of outside directors on corporate boards. Underlying this movement is an apparent presumption that boards with significant outside directors will make different and, perhaps, better decisions than boards dominated by insiders. As the first-mover in this movement, the United Kingdom provides a laboratory for a “natural experiment” to examine this presumption empirically. We find that UK boards that complied with the exogenously imposed standard were more likely to appoint outside chief executive officers (CEOs). Additionally, announcement period stock returns indicate that investors appear to view appointments of outside CEOs as good news. Apparently, boards with more outside directors make different (and perhaps better) decisions.

Do institutional investors exacerbate managerial myopia?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2000 6(3), 307-329
This study analyzes corporate expenditures for property, plant and equipment (PP&E), and research and development (R&D) for over 2500 US firms from 1988 to 1994. We find no support for the contention that institutional investors cause corporate managers to behave myopically. Indeed, we document a positive relation between industry-adjusted expenditures for PP&E and R&D and the fraction of shares owned by institutional investors. This relation is robust to a variety of empirical tests, including those that account for endogeneity between institutional ownership and firm-level discretionary expenditures.

To live or let die? An empirical analysis of piecemeal voluntary corporate liquidations

Journal of Corporate Finance 1997 3(4), 325-354
This paper is an in-depth investigation of 61 publicly-traded firms that chose to liquidate voluntarily on a piecemeal basis during the 1970s and 1980s. In comparison with their industry peers, these firms have lower Tobin's Q, a higher percentage of equity ownership by management and the board, a higher incidence of a member of the corporation's founding family in a key executive position or on the board, and a higher incidence of asset sales and prior attempts to transfer control of the firm. The average excess stock return of 20% around liquidation announcements is positively correlated with the fraction of stock owned by management and the board. These results suggest that firms that make the value enhancing decision to voluntarily liquidate confront low future growth opportunities, but the absence of future growth opportunities is not sufficient to bring about this decision. It is also necessary that decision makers have a vested interest in the outcome, either because of their ownership stake or because of their family affiliation with the business, and that the valuation consequences of the decision are greater, the more closely aligned are managerial and shareholder interests.

Auction failures and the market for auction rate securities

Journal of Financial Economics 2010 97(3), 451-469
The market for auction rate securities (ARS) made headlines during the second week of February 2008 when auctions at which the bonds’ interest rates reset experienced a wave of “failures.” Contrary to headlines that attribute the failures to a “frozen” market or investors’ “irrationality,” we find that (1) even at their height, less than 50% of ARS experienced auction failures, (2) the likelihood of auction failure was directly related to the level of the bonds’ “maximum auction rates,” (3) the implied market clearing yields of bonds with failed auctions were significantly above their maximum auction rates, and (4) ARS yields were generally higher than yields of various cash equivalent investment alternatives. We infer that investors priced the possibility of auctions failures into ARS yields and rationally declined to bid for bonds for which required market yields exceeded their maximum auction rates.

Board Composition, Corporate Performance, and the Cadbury Committee Recommendation

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2007 42(3), 535-564
During the 1990s and beyond, countries around the world witnessed calls and/or mandates for more outside directors on publicly traded companies' boards even though extant studies find no significant correlation between outside directors and corporate performance. We examine the connection between changes in board composition and corporate performance in the U.K. over the interval 1989–1996, a period that surrounds publication of the Cadbury Report, which calls for at least three outside directors for publicly traded corporations. We find that companies that add directors to conform with this standard exhibit a significant improvement in operating performance both in absolute terms and relative to various peer group benchmarks. We also find a statistically significant increase in stock prices around announcements that outside directors were added in conformance with this recommendation. We do not endorse mandated board structures, but the evidence appears to be that such a mandate is associated with an improvement in performance in U.K. companies.

Does Insider Trading Really Move Stock Prices?

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1999 34(2), 191
Prior studies have reported a positive correlation between insider trading and stock price changes implying that insider (i.e., informed) trades affect price discovery differently than non-insider (i.e., uninformed) trades. Based on these results, various scholars have argued for the legalization of insider trading to facilitate rapid price discovery. We analyze the trading activity of a confessed inside trader, Ivan Boesky, in Carnation's stock just prior to Nestle's 1984 acquisition of Carnation, and find that our tests are unable to distinguish the price effect of Boesky's (i.e., informed) purchases of Carnation's stock from the effect of non-insider (i.e., uninformed) purchases. Our conclusion survives extensive robustness tests and has methodological and public policy implications.

Prior Client Performance and the Choice of Investment Bank Advisors in Corporate Acquisitions

Review of Financial Studies 2014 27(8), 2474-2503
Contrary to earlier studies, we find that prior client performance is a significant determinant of the likelihood that an investment bank will be chosen as the advisor by future acquirers and of the changes through time in banks' shares of the advisory business. Further, the changes in the market values of acquirers at the announcement of acquisition attempts are positively correlated with contemporaneous changes in the market values of their advisors. Two implications arise: (1) acquirers consider advisors' prior client performance when choosing their advisors and (2) market forces work to align advisors' and clients' interests in the acquisition market.