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Disaggregation of Income Maintenance Impacts on Family Earnings

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1979 61(3), 354
THE impact of a negative income tax (NIT) on family labor supply is important for policy and research reasons. Income maintenance transfers are likely to be based on family size and family income. Because family earnings are a major component of total income in many families, exactly how the NIT treatment alters family earnings is a main evaluative issue. Both transfer costs and foregone production may be affected by the impact of the NIT on family earnings. A second reason for examining NIT impacts on family labor supply is that recent theoretical advances in labor supply theory (Kosters, 1966; Ashenfelter and Heckman, 1973; and Killingsworth, 1976) have stressed the role of individual decision making in the context of a family. Killingsworth concluded that while the introduction of the NIT would reduce family earnings, it is not necessarily true that each member of the family has reduced earnings. In the present analysis the adding up property of ordinary least squares estimates is used to demonstrate how NIT impacts are distributed across different family members. Our findings support Killingsworth's theoretical conclusion. Next, we examine whether the NIT impact on family earnings stems primarily from some NIT families reducing work efforts without stopping work or merely involves a few families allowing their earnings to fall to zero. Tobit estimates are used to provide separate estimates of NIT impacts on the likelihood of any family earnings and the level of conditional family earnings. Data on family earnings from the Gary Income Maintenance Experiment are used in the analysis.

Land Values in a Newly Zoned City

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2002 84(1), 62-72
The introduction of a new zoning ordinance to Chicago in 1923 offers a natural experiment that allows us to determine the effects of zoning on relative land-value growth rates. Policymakers claimed at the time that land-use zoning would raise aggregate land values by reducing negative externalities associated with mixed land use. After controlling for initial land use and the endogeneity of zoning decisions, we find that residential zoning led to higher land value growth rates than commercial zoning.

The Uses of Tobit Analysis

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1980 62(2), 318
In this paper authors point out that the coefficients obtained from using Tobit-here called beta coefficients - provide more information than is commonly realized. In particular, authors show that Tobit can be used to determine both changes in the probability of being above the limit and changes in the value of the dependent variable if it is already above the limit$ and authors show that this decomposition can be quantified in rather useful and insightful ways.