Event Risk: An Analysis of Losses to Bondholders and "Super Poison Put" Bond Covenants
Ten percent of the investment-grade industrial bonds that were associated with major capital restructurings between 1-983 and 1988 had already been downgraded to speculative grade as of August 1989. In response to these downgrades, and the corresponding wealth losses for bondholders, over 40 percent of recently issued investment-grade industrial bonds are protected from this type of by virtue of specialized covenants. These event-risk convenants may have initially reduced interest costs for borrowers by roughly 20 to 30 basis points. However, the magnitude of the effect appears to have declined along with the general decline in corporate restructurings. THE WAVE OF CORPORATE restructurings in the 1980s' and the accompanying expansion of debt gave rise to a marked deterioration in credit quality in the corporate bond market. The financing of the restructurings typically included new debt with a priority equal to or higher than that of the firm's outstanding bonds. As a result of the increase in risk, billions of dollars in outstanding bonds were downgraded from investment grade to speculative grade.' In the process, investors became increasingly concerned with event risk-the risk of a substantial decline in the market price of a firm's outstanding bonds arising from an unforeseen and major change in its capital structure. Since late 1988, several corporate bond offerings have included event-risk covenants as a safeguard against leverage-induced losses. Most of the covenants are ''super poison puts, which give investors the right to sell their bonds back to the issuer at par in the event of a leveraged restructuring and subsequent downgrading to speculative grade.