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A Model Teacher-Education Program for Economics

American Economic Review 2003 93(2), 455-459
Economics departments face increasing pressure to improve the quality of undergraduate instruction (William E. Becker, 2000). A teachertraining program (TTP) is one strategy departments can use to improve the quality of teaching. A TTP typically targets graduatestudent teaching assistants (TA’s) but can also provide valuable education to new junior faculty. The task set for this paper is to describe the ideal TTP. What is ideal is a matter of opinion. Mine is based on long experience with the TTP at the University of North Carolina–Chapel Hill, on familiarity with TTP’s at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Indiana University, and Purdue University, and on my experience as director of teaching workshops sponsored by the AEA Committee on Economic Education (Salemi et al., 1996). I begin with principles that should guide creation of a TTP, describe a TTP’s essential elements, and conclude with a consideration of resource issues.

The Forward Exchange Rate, Expectations, and the Demand for Money-The German Hyperinflation: Comment

American Economic Review 1980
As Phillip Cagan pointed out, hyperinflation provides the opportunity to study monetary phenomena in a situation where increases in nominal quantities dwarf changes in real quantities. The large changes in prices, moreover, surely create sizeable incentives to predict as well as possible the changes in these prices. Thus a central feature of a model of asset supply and demand in hyperinflation is the way in which agents are assumed to form their expectations. In a recent article in this Review, Jacob Frenkel proposed to infer from the data on spot and forward deutsche mark exchange the onemonth future rate of inflation expected in Germany during the post-World War I hyperinflation. The major virtue of such an approach, suggested Frenkel, was that it depended on observable market prices rather than mechanistic formulae to generate agents' guesses as to the opportunity cost of holding money. Frenkel based his conclusion that foreign exchange data could be used to measure inflation expectations on evidence that during the hyperinflation the market in deutsche mark exchange functioned efficiently. He based his conclusion that exchange markets were efficient on his estimates of two regressions:

Small Sample Properties of Three Tests for Granger-Causal Ordering in a Bivariate Stochastic System

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1982 64(4), 668
T HE purpose of this paper is to study the small sample performance of tests for causal ordering of time series in the sense of Granger (1969). Versions of three tests are studied: that based directly on Granger's definition of causality and suggested by Sargent (1976); that suggested by Sims (1972); and the modification of Sims suggested by Geweke, Meese, and Dent (1982). Tests for causal orderings of time series have been applied often in recent econometric work. Sims (1972) introduced his version of a causal ordering test to inquire whether money was exogenous (as monetarists might suggest) in the money income relationship. Sargent (1976) used Granger and Sims procedures to test the validity of the natural-rate hypothesis inherent in his model. Salemi (1980) employed the Granger test as a test of specification of a money demand equation in hyperinflation. A goal of our research is to conduct our study with data that closely resemble the types of quarterly time series that arise in applied research. The cost of this approach is a research design for which finitely parameterized versions of the tests are never exactly correct. It is our view that users of these tests are likely to encounter this potential source of bias. Indeed, the problem of truncation (of leading and lagging coefficients in the causality test regressions) arises whenever the vector ARMA representation of the time series studied has, in reality, a nontrivial moving average component. To our knowledge, this feature of our research design has not been used before, and is a major difference between our work and the work of Geweke et al. and Nelson and Schwert (1980). Answers to the following research questions interest us. First, how likely is a user of each version of the test to reach a correct decision regarding the causal ordering of the time series? Second, how accurately does each test procedure recover population values of the test regression coefficients? Third, how sensitive are answers to the first and second questions to sample size, contemporaneous correlation of the exogenous errors, and the strength of the causal interrelationship? Fourth, how important a source of bias is the finite parameterization of the test regressions that is required in small samples? Section II of the paper describes the versions of the tests studied. Section III describes the experimental design. The results of the experiments are in section IV, and conclusions are presented in section V.

The State of Economic Education

American Economic Review 1999 89(2), 355-361
During the first fifty years of the American Economic Association (AEA), its leaders considered the teaching of economics to be an important subject for discussion and debate. AEA founders set as a goal ... to educate public opinion about economic questions and economic literature (Elton Hinshaw and Siegfried, 1991 p. 373). During the last 50 years, AEA leaders have largely ceded questions on teaching to specialists. In 1955, the Association created the Committee on Economic Education (CEE) and charged it with improving the status of economic within the profession, stimulating and encouraging professional work on economic education, and arranging economics-education sessions at the AEA meetings. The Association later revised the charge to include actively ... improving the quality of economic at all levels, from pre-college to college, adult and general economic education (Hinshaw and Siegfried, 1991). It is time to direct the attention of the entire profession, not just economic specialists, toward the importance of educating a broad spectrum of the public about economics.