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On the way to recovery: A nonparametric bias free estimation of recovery rate densities

Journal of Banking & Finance 2004 28(12), 2915-2931
In this paper we analyse recovery rates on defaulted bonds using the Standard & Poor's/PMD database for the years 1981–1999. Due to the specific nature of the data (observations lie within 0 and 1), we must rely on nonstandard econometric techniques. The recovery rate density is estimated nonparametrically using a beta kernel method. This method is free of boundary bias, and Monte Carlo comparison with competing nonparametric estimators show that the beta kernel density estimator is particularly well suited for density estimation on the unit interval. We challenge the usual market practice to model parametrically recovery rates using a beta distribution calibrated on the empirical mean and variance. This assumption is unable to replicate multimodal distributions or concentration of data at total recovery and total loss. We evaluate the impact of choosing the beta distribution on the estimation of credit Value-at-Risk.

Pricing American options under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates

Journal of Financial Economics 2010 98(1), 145-159
We introduce a new analytical approach to price American options. Using an explicit and intuitive proxy for the exercise rule, we derive tractable pricing formulas using a short-maturity asymptotic expansion. Depending on model parameters, this method can accurately price options with time-to-maturity up to several years. The main advantage of our approach over existing methods lies in its straightforward extension to models with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates. We exploit this advantage by providing an analysis of the impact of volatility mean-reversion, volatility of volatility, and correlations on the American put price.

Sensitivity analysis of VaR and Expected Shortfall for portfolios under netting agreements

Journal of Banking & Finance 2005 29(4), 927-958
In this paper, we characterize explicitly the first derivative of the Value at Risk and the Expected Shortfall with respect to portfolio allocations when netting between positions exists. As a particular case, we examine a simple Gaussian example in order to illustrate the impact of netting agreements in credit risk management. Collateral issues are also dealt with. For practical purposes we further provide nonparametric estimators for sensitivities and derive their asymptotic distributions. An empirical application on a typical banking portfolio is finally provided.