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Self-interest, Agency Theory, and Political Voting Behavior: The Ratification of the United States Constitution

American Economic Review 1989
Two hundred years ago the United States Constitution replaced the Articles of Confederation as the fundamental law of the land when New Hampshire became the ninth state to ratify the Constitution on June 21, 1788. The document represented the successful culmination of a movement to strengthen the national government. Scholars long have debated the possible causes for this important change in political institutions (see James Hutson, 1984), a change which was to have major consequences for the development of the nation (Douglass North, 1981, ch. 14). Despite the intense debate, few scholars have either offered any theoretical model of the delegates' voting behavior or employed formal statistical analysis to test their hypotheses about voting behavior at the 13 state ratifying conventions. These omissions are surprising, particularly since Charles A. Beard (1913) long ago stated that the contest over ratification represented the ultimate test of the role of economic interests in the making of the Constitution, a test he never conducted. Given the recent interest exhibited by economists in explaining political behavior, the absence of a rigorous analysis of voting at the 13 ratifying conventions is even more surprising. Economists and economic historians have all but ignored the ratification process. In a progress report on our study of the making of the Constitution, we (Robert McGuire and Robert Ohsfeldt, 1984) recently provided a tentative theoretical model and summarized preliminary indications, drawn from incomplete data, of delegates' voting behavior during the drafting and ratification of the Constitution. More recently, we (McGuire and Ohsfeldt, 1986; McGuire, 1988) presented the final results of our econometric studies of the voting behavior during the drafting of the Constitution at the Federal Convention of 1787. In the present paper, we offer a principalagent model and econometric tests of voting behavior during the ratification of the Constitution at the 13 state conventions. An analysis of voting at the ratification stage allows for a stronger test of the factors influencing voting behavior than an analysis of the Federal Convention of 1787, because of a greater number of delegates (over 1200 versus 55) and a more straightforward voting process.' The paper not only addresses an important and controversial issue in economic history (the role of economic interests in the ratification of the Constitution), it also advances our general understanding of polit-

Beer Taxes, Workers' Compensation, and Industrial Injury

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1997 79(1), 155-160
The apparent effects of beer taxes, workers' compensation rules, and other factors on reported rates of lost work-days due to injury are estimated. The data used are for injury rates for two-digit SIC industries at the state-level pooled over 1975–85. The results indicate that higher beer tax rates are associated with lower rates of injury lost work-days. More generous workers' compensation payments generally are associated with higher reported injury lost work-days.

State Regulation and Hospital Costs

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1995 77(3), 416
The effects of various regulations on hospital costs are estimated using a two decade long panel data set which spans the initiation, and in some instances the repeal, of various forms of hospital regulation. The long panel fosters two improvements over previous research. First, as state hospital cost levels may affect states' incentive to regulate, fixed effect estimators alleviate omitted variable bias derived from the states' regulatory discretion. Second, the long panel permits the estimation of many different regulatory program effects, but also facilitates the analysis of potential regulatory program interaction. The empirical results suggest that previous studies have exaggerated regulatory cost savings: although some interaction effects are indicated, hospital costs appear unresponsive to most regulatory programs.