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A Review Essay on Handbook of Industrial Organization

Journal of Economic Literature 1991
THIS ARTICLE critically reviews the Handbook of Industrial Organization (henceforward the Handbook), edited by Richard Schmalensee and Robert Willig. These two volumes are the tenth installment in the North-Holland Handbooks in Economics series, under the general editorship of Kenneth Arrow and Michael Intriligator. Like its predecessors, this Handbook contains a number of survey papers (in this instance, 26) on a variety of related topics. As such, they afford both authors and readers an opportunity to determine which directions research in the field has taken, what (if any) real advances have been made, and what questions are still unanswered. Consequently, this review also describes and appraises the current state of Industrial Organization. Research in Industrial Organization has undergone a dramatic change in the last 20 years. Neoclassical decision-theoretic analysis and competitive general equilibrium theory have been supplanted almost completely by noncooperative game theory. This change was not merely the adoption of the tools of another field.

The Role of Information in U.S. Offshore Oil and Gas Lease Auction

Econometrica 1995 63(1), 1
[This paper describes the U.S. offshore oil and gas lease sales conducted by the Department of the Interior since 1954. Several decisions are discussed, including bidding for leases, the government's decision whether to accept the highest bid, the incidence and timing of exploratory drilling, and the formation of bidding consortia. Equilibrium models of these decisions that emphasize informational and strategic issues and that account for institutional features of the leasing program are analyzed, and their predictions compared to outcomes in the data.]

Noncooperative Collusion under Imperfect Price Information

Econometrica 1984 52(1), 87
Recent work in game theory has shown that, in principle, it may be possible for firms in an industry to form a self-policing cartel to maximize their joint profits. This paper examines the nature of cartel self-enforcement in the presence of demand uncertainty. A model of a noncooperatively supported cartel is presented, and the aspects of industry structure which would make such a cartel viable are discussed.

The timing and incidence of exploratory drilling on offshore wildcat tracts

American Economic Review 1996
This paper documents exploratory drilling activity on offshore wildcat oil and gas leases in the Gulf of Mexico sold between 1954 and 1980. The authors calculate the empirical drilling hazard function for cohorts in specific areas. For each year of the lease, they study the determinants of the decision whether to begin exploratory drilling and their relationship to the outcome of any drilling activity. Their results indicate that equilibrium predictions of plausible noncooperative models are reasonably accurate and more descriptive than those of cooperative models of drilling timing. The authors discuss why noncooperative behavior may occur and the potential gains from coordination.

An Empirical Study of an Auction with Asymmetric Information

American Economic Review 1988
This paper examines federal auctions for drain age leases on the Outer Continental Shelf from 1959 to 1969. These are leases that are adjacent to tracts on which a deposit has been discovered. The authors find that the data strongly support the hypotheses that neighbor firms are better informed about the value of a lease than nonneighbor firms; that neighbor firms coordinate their bidding decisions; and that both types of firms bid strategically in accordance with the Bayesian-Nash equilibrium model for first-price, sealed-bid auctions with asymmetric information.

Auctions for Oil and Gas Leases with an Informed Bidder and a Random Reservation Price

Econometrica 1994 62(6), 1415
The paper analyzes a first price, sealed bid auction with a random reservation price where the object has an unknown common value, but one buyer has better information than the others. We permit the reservation price to be correlated with the information of the informed buyer, which reflects both his assessment of the value of the object and probability of rejection at any bid. Assuming all random variables are affiliated, we establish the following results. (1) The rate of increase in the distribution of the uninformed bidder is never greater than the rate of increase in the distribution of the informed bid. (2) The distributions are identical at bids above the support of the reservation price. (3) The informed buyer is more likely to submit low bids. We demonstrate that these restrictions are satisfied by bid data from the federal sales of offshore drainage leases.

Detection of Bid Rigging in Procurement Auctions

Journal of Political Economy 1993 101(3), 518-538
This paper examines bidding in auctions for state highway construction contracts, in order to determine whether bid rigging occurred. Detection of collusion is possible because of limited participation in the collusive scheme. Collusion did not take the form of a bid rotation scheme. Instead, several ring members bid on most jobs. One was a serious bidder, and the other submitted phony higher bids. The bids of noncartel firms, as well as their rank distribution, were related to cost measures. In contrast, the rank distribution of higher cartel bids was unrelated to similar cost measures and differed from that of the low cartel bid.

Optimal selling strategies for oil and gas leases with an informed buyer

American Economic Review 1993
A study is presented on whether the US Government can increase its revenues from the sale of drainage leases by using a different allocation mechanism. The optimal mechanism is characterized for selling a lease when there is a single informed buyer and a fixed number of uniformed buyers. Implementation and the magnitude of potential revenue gains, if any, are discussed.