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Comment on Fuchs
Human Capital and the Rise and Fall of Families
"This paper develops a model of the transmission of earnings, assets, and consumption from parents to descendants. The model assumes utility-maximizing parents who are concerned about the welfare of their children. The degree of intergenerational mobility is determined by the interaction of this utility-maximizing behavior with investment and consumption opportunities in different generations and with different kinds of luck. We examine a number of empirical studies for different countries. Regression to the mean in earnings in rich countries appears to be rapid. Almost all the earnings advantages or disadvantages of ancestors are wiped out in three generations." A comment by Robert J. Willis is included (pp. 40-7).
Hypothesis Testing in Unidentified Models
An identified model is not necessary for statistical inference, but ambiguities can arise. This paper examines some simple examples and proposes a framework that distinguishes between the “refutation” and “confirmation” aspects of testing in an unidentified model. One particular problem is the interpretation given to overidentifying restrictions: a common view is that these are somehow not properly testable.
Calculating the market value of riskless cash flows
This paper uses arbitrage arguments to calculate the market value of riskless after-tax cash flows. The market value equals the present value of riskless after-tax cash flows discounted at the after-corporate-tax riskless interest rate. The market value equals the adjusted present value of riskless after-tax cash flows only when the incremental debt used in the adjusted present value calculations equals the market value of the remaining after-tax cash flows. Also, the analysis provides valuation formulas when interest and tax rates are certain but not uniform and when interest rates are uncertain.
Market reactions to mandated interest capitalization*
Abstract. Following a five year moratorium on adoption of interest capitalization by the SEC, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued SFAS No. 34 mandating that firms previously writing off interest charges related to the construction of assets change to capitalizing those charges. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of this change in terms of the security market's reactions both to policy announcements leading up to the promulgation of SFAS No. 34, and to earnings announcements following implementation by affected companies. Significant average market reactions are indicated for two of ten policy announcements before the effects of firm size are considered; however, significance disappears when those effects are removed from excess returns. Although a bias is detected in the forecasts of analysts consistent with less than full revision to include the earnings impact, there is little evidence of market reactions to announcements of those earnings. Résumé. Après un moratoire de cinq ans sur l'adoption de la capitalisation de l'intérêt par la S.E.C., le Financial Accounting Standards Board a émis le bulletin numéro 34 qui demande aux entreprises qui passaient aux dépenses les charges d'intérêts reliées à la construction d'actifs, de les capitaliser. L'objectif de cette étude, est d'analyser l'impact de ce changement (en termes des réactions du marché des valeurs) aux annonces de politiques qui ont conduit à la promulgation du bulletin 34 et aux annonces de bénéfices qui ont suivi l'implantation pour les compagnies touchées. Les réactions du marché en moyenne sont significatives pour deux des dix annonces de politiques, avant de prendre en considération les effets de l'ampleur de la firme; cependant, ce n'est plus significatif lorsque ces effets sont retranchés des rendements excédentaires. Quoiqu'un biais soit détecté dans les prévisions des analystes, en accord avec une révision moins que complète pour inclure l'impact des bénéfices, il y a peu d'évidence des réactions du marché aux annonces de ces bénéfices.
The role for empirical research in management accounting
Financial Accounting: A Casebook (Book).
Abstract Reviews the book "Financial Accounting: A Casebook," by Glenn M. Pfeiffer and Robert M. Bowen.
Security Analyst Multi-Year Earnings Forecasts and the Capital Market (Book).
Abstract Reviews the book "Security Analyst Multi-Year Earnings Forecasts and the Capital Market," by Philip Brown, George Foster and Eric Noreen.
Dictionary of Finance and Investment Terms (Book).
Abstract Reviews the book "Dictionary of Finance and Investment Terms," by John Downes and Jordan E. Goodman.