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Estimating the Benefits of Targeted R&D Subsidies

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2013 95(1), 255-272
We study the expected welfare effects of targeted R&D subsidies using project-level data from Finland. We model the application and R&D investment decisions of firms and the subsidy-granting decision of the public agency in charge of the program. Our model and institutional environment allow us to identify different benefits and costs of the R&D subsidy program. We find that expected effects of subsidies are very heterogeneous and estimated application costs low on average. The social rate of return on targeted subsidies is 30% to 50%, but spillover effects of subsidies are smaller than effects on firm profits.

Phoenix rising: Legal reforms and changes in valuations in Finland during the economic crisis

Journal of Financial Stability 2007 3(1), 33-58
Finland experienced an extremely severe economic depression in the early 1990s. As a part of the government's crisis management policies, significant new legislation was passed that increased supervisory powers of financial market regulators and reformed bankruptcy procedures significantly decreasing the protection of creditors. We show that the introduction of these new laws resulted in positive abnormal stock returns. The new laws also lead to increases in firms’ Tobin's q, especially for more levered firms. In contrast to previous studies, our results also suggest that public supervision of financial markets fosters rather than hampers financial market development.

Simultaneous Model of Innovation, Secrecy, and Patent Policy

American Economic Review 2006 96(2), 82-86
Multiple innovators can and do come up with the same invention independently. A famous case is the telephone: two hours after Alexander Graham Bell filed a patent application for it, another application for the same invention arrived at the patent office. Many scholars, such as Ilkka Rahnasto (2003) and Hal R. Varian et al. (2004), argue that since Bell’s time, simultaneous innovation has become increasingly common. We feel, and our discussions with industry practitioners confirm, that the simultaneous model of innovation characterizes especially network industries such as consumer electronics, the Internet, software, telecommunications, and payment systems, where standardization limits the possible paths for future technologies and so firms concentrate their R&D activities on the same fields. We suggest that simultaneous or independent invention has major implications for intellectual property (IP) policy. In particular, the possibility of simultaneous innovation changes the patenting decision: firms tap patents for a defensive purpose, since the choice is no longer between patenting or resorting to trade secrecy, but between patenting or letting competitors patent. By exploiting the vulnerability of innovative firms to rival innovation, it is possible to design a welfareimproving patent system that induces innovators to patent rather than keep their innovations secret. Taking the simultaneous nature of innovation seriously also changes the way one should think about the relationship between IP and competition policies.