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Testing the relative power of accounting standards versus incentives and other institutional features to influence the outcome of financial reporting in an international setting

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2003 36(1-3), 271-283
Ball, Robin and Wu (Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2003, this issue) investigate the relationship between accounting standards and the structure of other institutions on the attributes of the financial reporting system. They find evidence consistent with the hypothesis that beyond accounting standards, the structure of other institutions, such as incentives of preparers and auditors, enforcement mechanisms and ownership structure affects the outcome of the financial reporting system. However, interpretation of the evidence with respect to the notion of quality of the financial reporting system and the quality of accounting standards that the authors introduce is problematic.

On Networks and Markets by Rauch and Casella, eds.

Journal of Economic Literature 2003 41(2), 545-565
This essay reviews Networks and Markets, edited by James E. Rauch and Alessandra Casella. This book provides a useful vehicle for clarifying the main conceptual and operational issues facing the growing study of economic networks. Three types of networks are discussed: networks as concentrated or patterned exchange; as primordial relations; and, the most general, networks as structures of mutual orientation. An overview is provided of the challenges faced by research on the economic implications of three types of networks. The strengths and weaknesses of current research on economic networks are examined via a review of the contributions in the book.

Hostages, marginal deterrence and franchise contracts

Journal of Corporate Finance 2003 9(3), 317-331
In this paper, I examine the nature of hostages in long-term contracts. The definition of a hostage is improved relative to the rents attached to a contract. In addition, I show that hostages need to reflect marginal deterrence (fitting the crime) and operate similarly to the same principle in the criminal law. Some empirical observations are presented from franchise systems and support the marginal-deterrence hypothesis.

Hedging Demands in Hedging Contingent Claims

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2003 85(1), 119-140
Minimum-variance hedging of a contingent claim in discrete time is suboptimal when the contingent claim is hedged for multiple periods and the objective is to maximize the expected utility of cumulative hedging errors. This is because the hedging errors are not independent. The difference between a minimum-variance hedge and the optimal multiperiod hedge is called the hedging demand and depends on the hedger's preferences, the characteristics of the contingent claim, the trading frequency and horizon, and most importantly the joint distribution of the contingent claim and the underlying security prices. Since modeling this joint distribution is empirically controversial, I examine nonparametrically the economic importance of hedging demands in the case of hedging Standard & Poor's 500 index options.

The Effect of Immigration on Native Self‐Employment

Journal of Labor Economics 2003 21(3), 619-650
We examine the impact of immigration on self‐employed natives. In a new general equilibrium model of self‐employment and wage/salary work, a range of plausible parameter values implies small negative effects of immigration on native self‐employment rates and earnings. Using 1980 and 1990 Census microdata, we then examine the relationship between changes in immigration and native self‐employment rates and earnings across 132 of the largest U.S. metropolitan areas. We find evidence suggesting that self‐employed immigrants displace self‐employed natives but do not have a negative effect on native self‐employment earnings. The effects are much larger than those predicted by the theoretical model.

Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices

Journal of Economic Literature 2003
Are asset prices useful predictors of inflation and real output growth? After reviewing the large literature on this topic, we undertake an empirical analysis of quarterly data for seven OECD countries spanning 1959-99. The literature review and the empirical analysis yield the same conclusions. Some asset prices predict inflation or output growth in some countries in some periods. Which series predicts what, when, and where is difficult to predict; being a good predictor historically is largely unrelated to subsequent performance. Intriguingly, forecasts that combine these individually unstable forecasts appear to improve reliably upon univariate benchmarks.